
ArmInfo. Armenia's withdrawal from the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) will be unnoticed in Russia, but for Armenia it will result in economic collapse. This was stated by Robert Kocharyan, the second president of Armenia and leader of the opposition bloc "Armenia," in the latest episode of the "Big Politics" podcast.
He noted that an Armenian official recently said that Armenia would leave the EAEU if Russia raised gas prices for the republic. "Who will Armenia's withdrawal from the EAEU hurt? 35-40% of our foreign trade is with Russia. If you include all transactions that circumvent sanctions, it's around 60%. And what is Armenia's share of trade with Russia, can you tell me? It was only 0.3% in 2022, before the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and now it has grown to 0.5-0.7%. That's a percentage no one will notice. You're severing relations. In Russia, no one will even notice. For Armenia, it will be a collapse. The well-being of 80% of Armenia's residents depends to some extent on relations with Russia. The country's leader cannot pursue a foreign policy that runs counter to the country's economic interests. This is a blow to the well-being of citizens," the former Armenian president emphasized.
Responding to a question about the prospects for exports to the EU, Kocharyan noted that a tiny percentage of Armenian products goes to Europe: less than 1% of agricultural products, about 3-5% of wine products, and about 3% of cognac.
He added that he had studied this issue three years ago and recently decided to refresh his knowledge and confirmed that nothing had changed in terms of supply volumes. Kocharyan noted that wine, cognac, and greenhouse products are 100% going to Russia. "These people should understand that they're constantly provoking a bear. But they should also understand that this bear could backfire so hard that their country faces collapse. What will these people do if Russia suddenly changes its policy toward Armenia?" the politician asked.
In this vein, the former Armenian president called on everyone involved in agriculture and greenhouse farming to consider the consequences of the policy of leaving the EAEU. "Let them evaluate their loans and consider the consequences," the former president remarked.
He added that no one is telling them to become enemies of Europe. "We're saying there's no need to compare one to the other. Don't get caught up in this feud between Europe and Russia. You can earn money through relations with Russia and spend it in Europe," Kocharyan noted. He recalled that between 100,000 and 200,000 Armenians travel to Russia for seasonal work every year. The politician added that Russia has significantly tightened its immigration policy, and wondered what would happen to these people if Russia closed the border to them. Would they go to Europe?
Kocharyan also called it a mistake to think that while anti-Russian sentiment is being generated in Armenia, anti-Armenian sentiment isn't being fueled in Russia at the same time. It should be noted that according to the RA Statistical Committee, foreign trade turnover between Armenia and the EAEU countries decreased by 36.9% in 2025, exceeding $8 billion. At the same time, the volume of export deliveries decreased by 5% to $3.2 billion, against the backdrop of a decrease in imports by 48.5% to $4.8 billion. Mutual trade with Russia during the reporting period showed a decline of 38.3%, amounting to $7.6 billion. A decrease in exports was recorded at the level of 6.9% to $2.9 billion, with a decline in imports by 49.2% to $4.7 billion.