Armenian expert on three important events that could spark conflict  over Iran

ArmInfo.Varuzhan Geghamyan, a PhD candidate and Turkologist, spoke about three important events that could spark a conflict over Iran and change the future of the region in the coming days.

In his Facebook post, the expert stated that, figuratively speaking,  a major war is raging near Armenia's borders. On one side of this war  is the superpower United States and its ally Israel, and on the other  is our neighbor Iran.

"In the coming days, the United States and especially Israel, in  parallel with airstrikes on Iranian infrastructure, will attempt two  things: first, to destabilize the domestic political situation in  Iran, and second, to incite various Iranian peoples to armed  separatist struggle. In other words, to divide Iran," the expert  asserted. According to Geghamyan, in the context of the above, it is  already known that US President Donald Trump (again, likely at  Israel's insistence) has held talks with Kurdish forces in the  region. He added that if we add to this the airstrikes carried out in  recent days against Iranian border posts and military bases on the  Kurdish Iran-Iraq border, the picture becomes complete. "In addition  to the Kurds, the Baloch people living in southeastern Iran and the  Turkic-speaking Iranians (Azerbaijanis) living along our borders are  also being targeted by propaganda and other means. The assassination  of Ayatollah Khamenei was a tactical success for the American-Israeli  forces, but not a strategic victory. It appears that, having pinned  all their hopes on a quick overthrow of the Iranian regime and failed  to achieve this, the attacking side lacks a full understanding of an  alternative scenario for ending the war. Moreover, there is a  tendency to underestimate the Iranian system. This is why there are  various and contradictory statements about the conditions for  readiness to continue the war. In other words, the American-Israeli  exit strategy is unknown," Geghamyan added.

At the same time, he believes that despite the bilateral propaganda,  the situation remains far from predictable. The Turkologist added  that if an internal schism doesn't emerge in Iran, a so-called "war  of attrition" could ensue-a long, drawn-out struggle for resources,  not just material, in which the winner won't necessarily be the one  with the most weapons. "New countries will join in: more than 10  countries, from neighboring Iraq to Cyprus, have already been  affected," the expert asserted.

In conclusion, he expressed confidence that Armenians will also feel  the consequences of these processes in the coming days, for example,  when everything becomes more expensive due to the closure of the  Strait of Hormuz.