
ArmInfo.It is clear to everyone that the issue of peaceful use of nuclear energy is a "red line" for Iran that Tehran is not willing to cross, as stated by political scientist Vardan Voskanyan at the hearings titled "The South Caucasus: Redistribution of Power."
According to him, the second round of indirect contacts between the US and Iran, mediated by Oman, has concluded in Geneva. It is premature to talk about full-fledged and direct bilateral negotiations. Their agenda is also unclear, but the Iranian side has clearly outlined its "red lines": Iran will negotiate exclusively on its nuclear program in exchange for the lifting of US sanctions, and will not discuss its missile program or the issue of its regional space forces. Iran has stated its unequivocal position that the country must develop its peaceful nuclear program and engage in uranium enrichment, while also assuring that uranium enriched to 60% will not be exported outside of Iran.
The political scientist pointed out that alongside the negotiating process, military preparations are also underway. The US is sending significant military forces to the region, while Iran, in turn, is conducting active military exercises. At the same time, both sides continue to resort to bellicose rhetoric in their statements. "While direct military confrontation hasn't yet occurred, the threats of the use of force are growing almost daily. And if this confrontation does happen, the Iranian-American conflict could extend beyond Iran and affect the entire region, including Armenia's interests," the political scientist suggested. He added that in this case, the US would mobilize all its available potential in the Middle East, which would pose more than serious consequences, including for Armenia. The political scientist noted that while the US is currently guided by the well-known British principle of "fleet in being," Iran is using the methodology of "deterrence by the threat of a regional war," which can be considered an Iranian innovation.