ArmInfo. Despite the bellicose rhetoric of the current US President Donald Trump towards Iran, it is unlikely that real military action will take place between the countries. Political scientist and Director of the Caucasus Institute Alexander Iskandaryan stated this in a conversation with journalists during the international conference in Yerevan "Haik-Iran: A Thousand-Year Neighborliness".
The expert highlighted the extremely challenging situation in the South Caucasus, which in turn affects Iran. According to Iskandaryan, the configuration of the region is changing, Turkey's role is increasing not only in the South Caucasus, but also in the Middle East. The political scientist also noted that interesting dynamics are observed in the southern Mediterranean, particularly in the Israeli-Syrian and Israeli- Lebanese border areas.
"Under these conditions, it is at least important for Iran to maintain its positions in the region, which likely explains the policy it is currently pursuing. It is obvious that Iran is trying to uphold relations with both Armenia and Azerbaijan. This is not surprising as these countries have very different relations with Iran, yet both countries are important to it," Iskandaryan emphasized. Additionally, he pointed out that despite the historical balance between Iran and Turkey, that has existed for centuries, Turkish influence continues to increase currently. The political scientist clarified that the development of events depends on many factors, including the impact of the war around Ukraine and the stance of the United States. In this regard, he drew attention to the policy pursued by the new US President Donald Trump regarding Iran and the threats he has voiced. "However, I do not believe that these statements will lead to real military action," Iskandaryan said.