
ArmInfo. By capitalizing on the energy vulnerabilities of certain European countries, Baku seeks to advance its political agenda and narratives in Europe through the strategic use of its energy resources". This is stated in a recent analysis by the Geghard Scientific and Analytical Foundation, which focuses on Azerbaijan's energy policy. According to the study, in 2024, Azerbaijan exported 25.2 billion cubic meters of gas, which is 5.8% more than the previous year. "Approximately, half of this amount, 12.9 bcm, was exported to Europe. In 2024, eight European countries purchased gas from Baku: Italy, Greece, Bulgaria, Romania, Hungary, Serbia, Croatia and Slovenia. Italy remains the largest consumer of Azerbaijani gas in Europe," the authors of the analysis note.
Meanwhile, it is noted that since the beginning of the Russian-Ukrainian war, the significance of Azerbaijan's energy resources for Europe has grown, as alternative to Russian supplies. In 2022, the European Union and Azerbaijan signed a strategic cooperation document regarding gas supply. "Over the past two years, apart from relations with Turkey, Azerbaijan-Russia political relations have also deepened. Numerous reports have been published about Azerbaijan transiting Russian gas to Europe. In recent years, Baku has been strengthening its political ties with the countries whom it supplies gas. In turn, these European countries are striving to diversify their energy imports, including gas purchase from Azerbaijan," the analysis notes.
At the same time, according to the analysis, judging by the visits of Ilham Aliyev and other Azerbaijani officials over the past 4-5 years, one can gain insight of Baku's foreign policy priorities. "One of the methods to strengthen political ties is the signing of strategic partnership agreements. Currently, Azerbaijan has strategic partnership documents with nine EU member states, including Italy, Hungary, Romania and Bulgaria. In 2024, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Hungary and Romania signed an agreement to create infrastructure for electricity supply to Eastern Europe via the Black Sea. Additionally, in 2024, Serbia began receiving Azerbaijani gas, with an annual volume of 400 million cubic meters. However, at the beginning of January 2025, according to official reports, gas supplies to Serbia were suspended due to an issue at Azerbaijan's Shah Deniz gas field," the Geghard Foundation analysis explains.
Particular attention is paid to the criticism of France by Italy's Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs in 2024. He criticized France after the French Foreign Minister claimed that Azerbaijan was undermining the territorial integrity of Armenia. The Italian Foreign Minister described France's remarks as actions that hinder peace. In the same year, Hungary blocked a 10 million euro European Peace Facility support package for Armenia, demanding that funds also be allocated to Azerbaijan, even though Baku had not requested any assistance from the fund. At the same time, it is emphasized that Italy and Hungary are among the European countries whose embassies in Baku congratulated Azerbaijan on "Victory Day" on November 8.
The analysis also highlighted that Azerbaijan purchases weaponry from Italy and Serbia. In 2023, an agreement was signed between Azerbaijan and Italy on the purchase of military transport aircraft. In February 2024, Baku signed a contract worth approximately $ 300 million with Serbia for the purchase of self-propelled howitzers and shells. As explained in the analysis, Baku is also attempting to involve these countries to "reconstruction" efforts in occupied Artsakh. "By capitalizing the energy vulnerabilities of certain European countries, Baku seeks to advance its political agenda and narratives in Europe through the strategic use of its energy resources" the fund concluded.