ArmInfo. With any change in Armenia's foreign policy vector, it must be borne in mind that two people can't tango. This was stated to journalists in Yerevan on December 11 by leading research fellow at the Institute of International Studies at MGIMO, Russian Foreign Ministry, and editor-in-chief of the International Analytics magazine Sergey Markedonov.
According to him, the change in vector is not only because Yerevan wants it. "For example, Armenia is important for France, first of all, because of its domestic political agenda. Any French politician who flirts with small Christian Armenia in one way or another means the votes of the largest Armenian diaspora in Europe," the political scientist noted.
He added that if there is shooting in Armenia, little will change in Paris or Toulouse. "For France, the Caucasus is a puzzle, if you don't like it, you leave, but we can't leave, that's our difference," Markedonov emphasized, while admitting that France plays soft power much better than Russia. "We have little public empathy, we like to act from the position of a teacher giving a lecture to a student, but we also have to say kind words, which, however, do not convert into anything real. For example, today many Armenians work in Russia, who transfer money to their homeland," the political scientist recalled.
Markedonov emphasized that until 2020, the South Caucasus region was a situational competitive cooperation between Russia and the West. For example, on Georgia, on the status of Abkhazia and South Ossetia, there were complete differences, but on the Karabakh direction, the parties worked together. Even during the 44-day war, the positions of Russia and the West were even closer than, say, the positions of Turkey and the West. "After 2022, these nuances have faded into the background. Just 3-4 years ago, Armenia's cooperation with the West was perceived as acceptable interaction, but now it is no longer perceived that way. We have a problem with our perceptions, not just with a statement. There is an interesting evolution in Armenian-Russian relations. Nikol Pashinyan, before he was an oppositionist, criticized Eurasian integration. Speaking about military security, everything was without question for him. Then, after becoming prime minister, after difficult zigzags in Armenian-Russian relations, he changed his approaches, stating that the economy is unquestionable, everything is clear here, and the military-political sphere is on the sidelines. Meanwhile, the military-political sphere is not on the periphery, it is simply not developing the way we in Russia would like. But this does not mean that it does not exist," Markedonov summed up.