ArmInfo. It is premature to talk about the withdrawal of Russian border guards from the land borders of Armenia. Armenia has neither the human resources nor the technical capabilities to replace Russian border guards at the border, the first commander of the border troops of Armenia, Major General Levon Stepanyan told ArmInfo in response to a request to comment on rumors about the possible withdrawal of Russian border guards from Armenia, given the current difficult geopolitical realities.
The general suggested making a short historical excursion and remembering how it happened that Russian border guards were entrusted with protecting the state borders of Armenia. According to him, this happened during the first Karabakh war, when all forces were thrown to the front, and in fact this direction of the state border was exposed. Stepanyan recalled that at that time the border troops of the USSR were no longer considered masters of the situation, since the great country no longer existed. They were temporarily subordinate to the CIS structures, the formation of Russian border troops was underway, but everything was at a transitional stage, which especially affected the Armenian border. The general noted that of the 15 union republics, only Armenia, Georgia, Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan did not immediately move on to forming their own border troops.
"During this period, officers of the USSR Border Troops gradually dispersed to their national countries. A personnel shortage appeared on our border. Russian border troops wanted to leave Armenia, arguing that they had a shortage of personnel in other sections of their own border, especially officers. That's when we and asked Russia to stay. I was a participant in those conversations. And we managed to convince the Russian side to stay. Moreover, there was an agreement that 50% of the troops would be formed from the personnel of the Armenian side, and 50% from the Russian side. Thus, financing should also have been provided "- recalls Stepanyan, adding that it was after this that the corresponding Armenian-Russian agreement on the status of the Russian border troops in the Republic of Armenia was signed in 1992.
At the same time, the general notes that, starting from 2000, the Armenian side began to violate agreements both in terms of funding and in terms of recruiting personnel, which in turn led to the forced optimization of forces stationed on the border of border units. However, according to him, no matter how it was, everywhere, on the border, at border outposts, the Armenian and Russian flags were hoisted side by side.
"In fact, the decision of the Armenian side to withdraw Russian border guards from Zvartnots does not create any serious problem. We see it as heroism, but on the other side it's an insult! This is not a problem at all; in principle, we went through this without any fuss , for example, at Gyumri airport," the general noted. The current agreement provides for the gradual transfer of sections of the border to the Armenian border troops as they become ready.
At the same time, Stepanyan believes that the current authorities of Armenia are unlikely today to take such a step as the complete withdrawal of Russian border guards from the territory of the Republic. "No matter how much we criticize the current leadership of our country today, nevertheless, I don't think that they will go to such madness today. And there is a simple explanation for this, since it was the Russian presence on this section of the border that led to the fact that at no time "The first Karabakh war, there were no serious incidents in this area during the 44-day war. It was the Russian flag that ensured our peace of mind - this is a well-known fact, the entire border population speaks about this," the general noted.
To clarify whether the Azerbaijani-Turkish tandem can take advantage of the tension in Armenian-Russian relations and undertake some kind of adventure, taking into account the fact that a few weeks ago photos with footage from the Armenian-Turkish border, where you can see people turned in Turkish guns sided with Armenia, Stepanyan expressed the conviction that nothing like this should be expected. "Although, as a military man, I believe that "if you want peace, prepare for war," however, I am sure that nothing like that will happen. In the current realities, this is impossible, especially since Russian troops are still stationed there. When they will leave is another question," he said.
At the same time, the general believes that if the Russian border guards do leave, "there will be chaos on the border." According to him, this is due both to the fact that the border will remain without an owner, and because Armenia simply does not have the human resources to guard it, there are no modern technical means of border protection with which the state border security system will need to be equipped.
Stepanyan also added that Armenia will also need time to educate a generation of border guards, since this is a completely different psychology. "And the consequences can be unpredictable both on Turkey's part and on our part as well, since our citizens are not very law-abiding and do not know how to behave at the border. For many, the border regime, the border regime is nothing. In the early 90s, we observed all this and fought," the senior military officer added.
When asked whether it is hypothetically possible that Armenia would invite the European military to border the country's external borders, especially taking into account that the country's authorities are already openly talking about changing the political vector of Armenia, and some Western-oriented political forces are proposing to replace Russian border guards with representatives of Frontex (European Border Agency and coast guard, supports EU member states and countries included in the Schengen area in managing the external borders of the EU - Ed.), Stepanyan expressed the conviction that such a step will undoubtedly lead to another round of tension between Yerevan and Moscow.
"This will also mean that the Armenian authorities are deliberately leading Russia to leave our country. It is necessary to resolve all problems in our relations at the negotiating table, and not as is happening now. If a few years ago we were proud that we have our allies are a nuclear power, then today for some reason we forget what Russia is and acquire an enemy in its person. Do we need to have hostile relations with Russia, will we survive such a situation?" the general asked, adding that he is categorically against such a development of the situation, since Armenia will not bear such a load. According to him, today there is no country near Armenia that would guarantee its complete security.
At the same time, he urged not to forget about the Iranian factor. "Okay, Russia - good or bad, fulfills or does not fulfill its obligations, but we also have plans for Iran. Official Tehran raises the question of eliminating representatives of third countries from the border. If Yerevan decides to deploy European forces on its border, Iran will at least be offended," the general noted.
To clarify how realistic the conversations about the possibility of introducing European forces in Armenia are and whether Europe has such potential, Stepanyan noted that the European Union can afford anything, since it has both financial means and resources. However, according to him, Europe itself still needs to deal with its member countries, since it is now, in fact, split into two parts.
"They do not have a common understanding on a number of issues related to Ukraine. I am sure that in terms of Armenia it will be even worse. Let's look at the situation using the example of the latest resolution of the European Parliament. There, 4 deputies voted against this document, and a number of other countries abstained. Look , which countries refused to support this resolution. I am sure that on the issue of granting Armenia EU candidate status, there will be countries that will veto. We have no guarantees that this will not happen. Let's look at history! Cilician Armenia was under the protectorate of France - where is Cilician Armenia now? After the 1st World War, the United States took over supervision of Armenia, soon refused and handed everything over to the British, and they to the Turks, and then there were well-known events. The Treaty of SŠvres hung in the air, and the countries that signed it fell silent for more than 100 Let's just remember what happened at the beginning of the 20th century - the loss of a huge territory and my native Nakhijevan... I doubt that Europe will consistently defend Armenia 100% to the end. I believe that there should be no Europeans on the Armenian-Turkish border," the general concluded.