Current government has put Armenia on verge of becoming "collapsing  state" - political scientist

ArmInfo.The most acute problem and threat to the Armenian statehood is the problem of the current authorities, whose activity leads to catastrophic consequences for Armenia and the  Armenian statehood. Hrachya Arzumanyan, doctor of political sciences,  expert in the field of national security, former adviser to the  Foreign Minister of Artsakh, wrote on his Facebook page, sharing his  impressions of the hearings held at the UN Security Council on the  humanitarian crisis in Nagorno-Karabakh.

According to the political scientist, the boundaries between the  external and internal environment were blurred in Armenia, when it is  impossible and simply wrong to draw a line and distinguish between  the internal and external environment and politics. According to  Arzumanyan, this is a "brilliant" achievement of the current Armenian  government, which has put Armenia on the verge of becoming a "  collapsing state" completely under external control.

In his opinion, it is necessary to give up the hope that the  authorities will come to their senses and, at least out of a sense of  self-preservation, begin to pursue a sovereign Armenian policy, and  not represent and realize the interests of the centers of power,  first and last, the strategic union of the Russian Federation and  Turkey.

Thus, he believes, the change of the current government in Armenia  becomes the top priority for the Armenian people. This conclusion is  solely "the merit" of the authorities, which managed to bring the  situation to such a state against the backdrop of existential  military threats.

The expert notes with regret that today we can talk about a positive  feedback between the Armenian authorities and existential threats.  The actions of the Armenian authorities increase the threats, putting  the very institutions of power, state sovereignty and Armenian  statehood under direct attack. "To what extent this is done  consciously and to what extent it is a consequence of incompetence,  stupidity, ideological and psychological attitudes is secondary,  since the consequences in any case turn out to be destructive for  Armenia and the Armenian people," Arzumanyan notes.

According to him, the current Armenian government is destroying the  Armenian statehood, having only one goal - to maintain itself in  power. It is for this purpose that the authorities are doing  everything to exclude the consolidation of the Armenian society and  people in the face of existential threats. "Bread and circuses" to  occupy the society, lull its sense of self-preservation and exclude  consolidation for the salvation of Armenia. As old as the world and  works flawlessly. "Bread" fell from the sky, or rather appeared "out  of nowhere" thanks to the Ukrainian war and the emigration of the  active population of the Russian Federation, including to Armenia.  And the spectacles are organized non-stop.

At the same time, the need to change the current government leads to  a number of interrelated and complex challenges and problems that  require a separate analysis, where, first of all, it is necessary to  answer the question of "who" can become an actor who will undertake  the solution of this problem. <It is obvious to me that it will not  be a political, but a public and national figure who will be able to  unite the Armenian society around him, around the tasks of defending  the country and saving state sovereignty through the formation of a  "government of technocrats" (professionals, not politicians).

But how can this be achieved, how can Nikol Pashinyan be separated  from power without collapsing state institutions and without plunging  Armenia into chaos amid external military existential threats, the  expert asks. This is an extremely difficult problem, given that the  Prime Minister of Armenia is surrounded and protected by the former  leaders of Armenia/Artsakh, generals of the army, National Security,  Ministry of Internal Affairs, Ministry of Foreign Affairs,  prosecutors, supreme judges, etc.  Therefore, only having decided on  who and how will solve the problem of power in Armenia, it is  possible to set the task of consolidating the Armenian society, which  is experienced enough to be carried out by imaginary agendas,  surrogate leaders from Russian / Turkish test tubes. Society rises if  its trust can be won by a national leader who clearly understands how  Armenia will emerge from the catastrophe, formulating his vision in a  clear and concise language. The emergence of such a leader will be  the result of the self- organization of the Armenian society and the  processes of emergence, leading to the birth of a new quality out of  nowhere, as a result of systemic dynamics.

At the same time, the analyst believes that the most acute external  threat is the Russian-Turkish strategic alliance, which continues to  act against the Armenian people and Armenian statehood. And it is no  coincidence that the positions of the Russian Federation and  Azerbaijan at the meeting of the UN Security Council completely  coincided. In this context, Azerbaijan should be considered as a  proxy country through which the Russian Federation/Turkey, pursue  their interests in the region. " Azerbaijan is no longer an  independent state conducting an independent policy, and Armenia  should confront power centers in all arenas ,and not a small state,"  the analyst is sure. In his opinion, this is a confrontation that is  asymmetrical in nature, in which the quantitative inequality of  potential and opportunities must be balanced by quality.  We need to  stop looking at Azerbaijan, but focus on the Russian Federation and  Turkey, which have designated Armenia as an enemy. In this context,  Arzumanyan is convinced that Armenia has quite good chances to build  allied relations with Western countries, primarily with France and  the United States and others. But - after the change of power.