ArmInfo.The most acute problem and threat to the Armenian statehood is the problem of the current authorities, whose activity leads to catastrophic consequences for Armenia and the Armenian statehood. Hrachya Arzumanyan, doctor of political sciences, expert in the field of national security, former adviser to the Foreign Minister of Artsakh, wrote on his Facebook page, sharing his impressions of the hearings held at the UN Security Council on the humanitarian crisis in Nagorno-Karabakh.
According to the political scientist, the boundaries between the external and internal environment were blurred in Armenia, when it is impossible and simply wrong to draw a line and distinguish between the internal and external environment and politics. According to Arzumanyan, this is a "brilliant" achievement of the current Armenian government, which has put Armenia on the verge of becoming a " collapsing state" completely under external control.
In his opinion, it is necessary to give up the hope that the authorities will come to their senses and, at least out of a sense of self-preservation, begin to pursue a sovereign Armenian policy, and not represent and realize the interests of the centers of power, first and last, the strategic union of the Russian Federation and Turkey.
Thus, he believes, the change of the current government in Armenia becomes the top priority for the Armenian people. This conclusion is solely "the merit" of the authorities, which managed to bring the situation to such a state against the backdrop of existential military threats.
The expert notes with regret that today we can talk about a positive feedback between the Armenian authorities and existential threats. The actions of the Armenian authorities increase the threats, putting the very institutions of power, state sovereignty and Armenian statehood under direct attack. "To what extent this is done consciously and to what extent it is a consequence of incompetence, stupidity, ideological and psychological attitudes is secondary, since the consequences in any case turn out to be destructive for Armenia and the Armenian people," Arzumanyan notes.
According to him, the current Armenian government is destroying the Armenian statehood, having only one goal - to maintain itself in power. It is for this purpose that the authorities are doing everything to exclude the consolidation of the Armenian society and people in the face of existential threats. "Bread and circuses" to occupy the society, lull its sense of self-preservation and exclude consolidation for the salvation of Armenia. As old as the world and works flawlessly. "Bread" fell from the sky, or rather appeared "out of nowhere" thanks to the Ukrainian war and the emigration of the active population of the Russian Federation, including to Armenia. And the spectacles are organized non-stop.
At the same time, the need to change the current government leads to a number of interrelated and complex challenges and problems that require a separate analysis, where, first of all, it is necessary to answer the question of "who" can become an actor who will undertake the solution of this problem. <It is obvious to me that it will not be a political, but a public and national figure who will be able to unite the Armenian society around him, around the tasks of defending the country and saving state sovereignty through the formation of a "government of technocrats" (professionals, not politicians).
But how can this be achieved, how can Nikol Pashinyan be separated from power without collapsing state institutions and without plunging Armenia into chaos amid external military existential threats, the expert asks. This is an extremely difficult problem, given that the Prime Minister of Armenia is surrounded and protected by the former leaders of Armenia/Artsakh, generals of the army, National Security, Ministry of Internal Affairs, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, prosecutors, supreme judges, etc. Therefore, only having decided on who and how will solve the problem of power in Armenia, it is possible to set the task of consolidating the Armenian society, which is experienced enough to be carried out by imaginary agendas, surrogate leaders from Russian / Turkish test tubes. Society rises if its trust can be won by a national leader who clearly understands how Armenia will emerge from the catastrophe, formulating his vision in a clear and concise language. The emergence of such a leader will be the result of the self- organization of the Armenian society and the processes of emergence, leading to the birth of a new quality out of nowhere, as a result of systemic dynamics.
At the same time, the analyst believes that the most acute external threat is the Russian-Turkish strategic alliance, which continues to act against the Armenian people and Armenian statehood. And it is no coincidence that the positions of the Russian Federation and Azerbaijan at the meeting of the UN Security Council completely coincided. In this context, Azerbaijan should be considered as a proxy country through which the Russian Federation/Turkey, pursue their interests in the region. " Azerbaijan is no longer an independent state conducting an independent policy, and Armenia should confront power centers in all arenas ,and not a small state," the analyst is sure. In his opinion, this is a confrontation that is asymmetrical in nature, in which the quantitative inequality of potential and opportunities must be balanced by quality. We need to stop looking at Azerbaijan, but focus on the Russian Federation and Turkey, which have designated Armenia as an enemy. In this context, Arzumanyan is convinced that Armenia has quite good chances to build allied relations with Western countries, primarily with France and the United States and others. But - after the change of power.