Forecast: Azerbaijan will not use Armenian roads

ArmInfo.I do not think that Azerbaijan will use the roads provided by Armenia to communicate with the Nakhichevan exclave. Political scientist Stepan Grigoryan  expressed a similar opinion to ArmInfo.

On August 19, a draft decision of the Government of Armenia was  published on the website e-draft.am, which notes the following.  "Based on Part 2 of Article 122 of the Law "On Customs Regulation",  the Government of the Republic of Armenia decides: To establish a  customs control zone in the areas of the Sotk, Yeraskh, Karahunj  customs checkpoints of the Southern Customs Department.

" Baku is very tough on the issue of the inadmissibility of checking  Azerbaijani passports by Armenian border guards. And with the support  of Ankara, it demands exactly the corridor that is not controlled by  Yerevan.  I also expect Azerbaijani demands to quickly organize  communication between Armenia and Artsakh through a new road under  construction as well. And I do not exclude at all that the  Azerbaijanis intend to control this corridor on an equal basis with  the Russians, of course, with the consent of Moscow," he forecasts.

The political scientist believes that  another possible scenario is  the activation of enclave issues in the near future. According to  him, the establishment of Russian checkpoints in Tavush and  Tigranashen is the proof of this. According to his forecasts, there  are all prerequisites for the transformation of these territories  into a neutral zone with subsequent surrender to Azerbaijan.

Commenting on the information about the preparation of the next  Putin-Pashinyan-Aliyev meeting in Moscow on August 31, Grigoryan  noted that the main topic of these negotiations will be Baku's desire  to use the "Zangezur Corridor" for communication with Nakhichevan and  Turkey.

"Baku sets difficult conditions, while Yerevan tries to make  compromises, for example, in the form of joint Russian-Armenian  inspection bodies on transit routes. I just can't imagine in practice  how Armenia can agree to Azerbaijan's conditions. Among other things,  this is about elementary technical issues. Azerbaijan demands to  organize the movement of its own citizens through the territory of  another state so that they do not come into contact with any bodies  of this state, which is impossible in practice," the political  scientist summed up.