Arminfo.info


 Thursday, July 28 2022 15:43
David Stepanyan

Forecast: The situation in the South Caucasus is extremely dangerous  as of today and is fraught with a large-scale war already tomorrow

Forecast: The situation in the South Caucasus is extremely dangerous  as of today and is fraught with a large-scale war already tomorrow

ArmInfo.The West is putting pressure on Armenia to recognize Artsakh as part of Azerbaijan. The goal is the subsequent withdrawal of the Russian servicemen from  there and after that, to link the Turkic world encircling Russia  through the Armenian Syunik. Political scientist Stepan Danielyan  expressed a similar opinion to ArmInfo.

"In general, the West is now faced with the task of opening a second  front against the Russian Federation in the South Caucasus. The  geopolitical balance established by the Astana agreements between  Russia, Iran and Turkey is on the way to this goal. And it is the  Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict, its development into a large-scale  war, that will allow the West destroy this balance by pushing all the  countries of the region against each other," he said.

According to the political scientist, neighboring countries, in  particular Iran, will not be able to stand aside in the event of a  war between Armenia and Azerbaijan. And the same statements from  Tehran about the inadmissibility of any territorial changes in the  Syunik region of Armenia and on the border with Iran indicate the  presence of appropriate external impulses.  According to Danielyan,  as a result, the situation in the region is extremely dangerous as of  today and is fraught with an even larger-scale war than the Ukrainian  one already tomorrow. And the leadership of Armenia is already at a  crossroads between the prospect of a new war and a serious  military-political and economic dependence on the Russian Federation.  Very serious external players are interested in the war. In  particular, the United States, which does not want to cede hegemony  in the world to China or Russia.

"This is where the American strategy aimed at upsetting the balance  of power in the South Caucasus originates. Part of which is the talks  of Secretary of State Blinken with Pashinyan and Aliyev, visits of  high-ranking officials from Iran, the United States and Russia to the  Transcaucasian capitals, etc. It is possible to break the balance by  using the contradictions between Armenia and Azerbaijan. After that,  involve Turkey, Russia and, ultimately, Iran in the war between them.  In response to all these challenges and threats the Armenian  leadership  prefers to play for time, waiting for the end of the war  in Ukraine," Danielyan summed up.

POST A COMMENT
Input digits     

News
Ucom Launches 5G Network in Abovyan and EjmiatsinUcom Launches 5G Network in Abovyan and Ejmiatsin
Nonstandard Europe: EU ambassador to Baku enlisted in criminal  circles Nonstandard Europe: EU ambassador to Baku enlisted in criminal  circles 
Azerbaijan cannot do without clashing with Russia in context of  ambitious tasks in Armenian and Iranian theaters - Russian expert Azerbaijan cannot do without clashing with Russia in context of  ambitious tasks in Armenian and Iranian theaters - Russian expert 
Peace between Armenia and Azerbaijan could be success story -  Armenian MPPeace between Armenia and Azerbaijan could be success story -  Armenian MP
Professor Armen Charchyan not allowed to leave Armenia Professor Armen Charchyan not allowed to leave Armenia 
Peace achievable in South Caucasus - Armenian MP at OSCE Peace achievable in South Caucasus - Armenian MP at OSCE 
AGBU urges Armenian authorities and  Church to exercise restraint and  unityAGBU urges Armenian authorities and  Church to exercise restraint and  unity
Representatives of  Catholicos of  Great House of Cilicia met with   Catholicos of All ArmeniansRepresentatives of  Catholicos of  Great House of Cilicia met with   Catholicos of All Armenians
Kallas promised Pashinyan EU supportKallas promised Pashinyan EU support
Swiss MP: Pashinyan will hardly work for the return of the displaced  from Nagorno-KarabakhSwiss MP: Pashinyan will hardly work for the return of the displaced  from Nagorno-Karabakh
ARF  Central Committee in Western Europe calls Macron`s stance on the  situation in Armenia unacceptableARF  Central Committee in Western Europe calls Macron`s stance on the  situation in Armenia unacceptable
Azerbaijani Ambassador summoned to Russian MFAAzerbaijani Ambassador summoned to Russian MFA
MFA: Tehran is closely monitoring Israel`s actions to use the  territory of neighboring countries to renew aggression against IranMFA: Tehran is closely monitoring Israel`s actions to use the  territory of neighboring countries to renew aggression against Iran
Samvel Karapetyan`s office: Public support cannot and should not be  subject to censorshipSamvel Karapetyan`s office: Public support cannot and should not be  subject to censorship
After  After  "velvet revolution" Pashinyan tripled RA National Security  Service`s funding  
NA Member: Processes  in Armenia are its internal affairNA Member: Processes  in Armenia are its internal affair
Lavrov: If Armenia turns away from its allies, it will hardly benefit  the Armenian peopleLavrov: If Armenia turns away from its allies, it will hardly benefit  the Armenian people
Armenian MPs held several meetings in  U.S.Armenian MPs held several meetings in  U.S.
Zakharova: Our diplomats in Baku unable to contact Russian citizensZakharova: Our diplomats in Baku unable to contact Russian citizens
Kremlin: Membership in CSTO guarantees certain benefits, but the  decision is only up to YerevanKremlin: Membership in CSTO guarantees certain benefits, but the  decision is only up to Yerevan
Mirzoyan: Armenia, EU signal  important achievements in bilateral  relationsMirzoyan: Armenia, EU signal  important achievements in bilateral  relations
Mirzoyan, Kallas signed agreement on establishing framework for  Armenia`s participation in  EU crisis management operationsMirzoyan, Kallas signed agreement on establishing framework for  Armenia`s participation in  EU crisis management operations
Kallas: EU excited about peace process between Yerevan and Baku and  hopes for a swift resolutionKallas: EU excited about peace process between Yerevan and Baku and  hopes for a swift resolution
NA Vice Speaker, Iranian Ambassador discuss developments in South  Caucasus and  Middle EastNA Vice Speaker, Iranian Ambassador discuss developments in South  Caucasus and  Middle East
Customer Appreciation Day at IDBankCustomer Appreciation Day at IDBank
Poland met about 85% of Armenia`s requests for legal assistance - RA  Prosecutor GeneralPoland met about 85% of Armenia`s requests for legal assistance - RA  Prosecutor General
Mirzoyan calls on Lavrov not to interfere Mirzoyan calls on Lavrov not to interfere "in  internal affairs" of  Armenia
Samvel Karapetyan`s another message from pre-trial detention centerSamvel Karapetyan`s another message from pre-trial detention center
Two clergymen in one cell to wiretapping - lawyer Two clergymen in one cell to wiretapping - lawyer 
Attacks on Armenian church arouse concern - Russian FMAttacks on Armenian church arouse concern - Russian FM
Clergyman`s lawyers explain his position on nomination for Armenia`s  premiershipClergyman`s lawyers explain his position on nomination for Armenia`s  premiership
AraratBank Joins BAFT AssociationAraratBank Joins BAFT Association
Head of the European office of ARF calls on Kaja Kallas to visit  Mother See of EtchmiadzinHead of the European office of ARF calls on Kaja Kallas to visit  Mother See of Etchmiadzin
Armenian Community of Bulgaria condemns attacks on Armenian church Armenian Community of Bulgaria condemns attacks on Armenian church 
1937 back in Armenia - Bagrat Galstanyan 1937 back in Armenia - Bagrat Galstanyan 
Cathedral of Mother See of Holy Etchmiadzin to host prayer service  all week for release of prisoners, consolation of grieving and peace  in homelandCathedral of Mother See of Holy Etchmiadzin to host prayer service  all week for release of prisoners, consolation of grieving and peace  in homeland
Armenian FM not to take part in CSTO Council of Foreign Ministers`  meeting in KyrgyzstanArmenian FM not to take part in CSTO Council of Foreign Ministers`  meeting in Kyrgyzstan
EU High Rep holding negotiations in Yerevan EU High Rep holding negotiations in Yerevan 
Azerbaijan has never been Russia`s strategic partner - Konstantin  Zatulin Azerbaijan has never been Russia`s strategic partner - Konstantin  Zatulin 
Watchful eye of Sauron-Erdogan in Baku, cowardly bleating of freaks  in power in Yerevan and Russia`s silence: Armenians expelled from  their places of thousand-year residence in Nagorno-Karabakh - analyst Watchful eye of Sauron-Erdogan in Baku, cowardly bleating of freaks  in power in Yerevan and Russia`s silence: Armenians expelled from  their places of thousand-year residence in Nagorno-Karabakh - analyst 
French president`s statement encourages establishment of dictatorship  in Armenia - ARD rep French president`s statement encourages establishment of dictatorship  in Armenia - ARD rep 
French president voices support for reforms in Armenia French president voices support for reforms in Armenia 
 Patriarch of Moscow and All Rus` congratulates Aram I on 30th  anniversary of his enthronement Patriarch of Moscow and All Rus` congratulates Aram I on 30th  anniversary of his enthronement
Armenian Patriarchate of Jerusalem condemns incident at the Mother  See of Holy EtchmiadzinArmenian Patriarchate of Jerusalem condemns incident at the Mother  See of Holy Etchmiadzin
IEC supports Samvel Karapetyan, President of Tashir Group of  Companies IEC supports Samvel Karapetyan, President of Tashir Group of  Companies 
Andranik Simonyan appointed head of National Security Service of  ArmeniaAndranik Simonyan appointed head of National Security Service of  Armenia
Armenia Prime Minister  suggests putting an end to the use of vulgar  language in publicArmenia Prime Minister  suggests putting an end to the use of vulgar  language in public
David Ananyan: The ultimate goal of this political play is clear: the  Patriarch and the AACDavid Ananyan: The ultimate goal of this political play is clear: the  Patriarch and the AAC
Mekhitarist Order of Venice supports AAC and  Catholicos of All  ArmeniansMekhitarist Order of Venice supports AAC and  Catholicos of All  Armenians
Minors detained during events at Mother See of Echmiadzin  -  Ombudsman`s OfficeMinors detained during events at Mother See of Echmiadzin  -  Ombudsman`s Office
In U.S., NA MPs presented details of Armenia-Azerbaijan peace processIn U.S., NA MPs presented details of Armenia-Azerbaijan peace process
Swedish Ambassador: Leaving Armenia with good memoriesSwedish Ambassador: Leaving Armenia with good memories
RA Prosecutor`s Office presents evidence of Archbishop Mikael  Ajapahyan`s guiltRA Prosecutor`s Office presents evidence of Archbishop Mikael  Ajapahyan`s guilt
Earthquake  recorded in ArmeniaEarthquake  recorded in Armenia
Archbishop Mikael Ajapahyan arrested for two months - lawyerArchbishop Mikael Ajapahyan arrested for two months - lawyer
Armenian security forces continue repressionsArmenian security forces continue repressions
Russia closely following the situation in Armenian EchmiadzinRussia closely following the situation in Armenian Echmiadzin
Armenia`s National Security Service  recalls security considerationsArmenia`s National Security Service  recalls security considerations
Mother See of Holy Echmiadzin: June 27 of this year will be  remembered as a day of national disgraceMother See of Holy Echmiadzin: June 27 of this year will be  remembered as a day of national disgrace
Sati Spivakova: Stop Sati Spivakova: Stop "the witch hunt"! Don`t block the road leading  to the Temple!
Read more



Commented