Arminfo.info



 Wednesday, July 13 2022 13:16
David Stepanyan

Turkish President Recep Erdogan could well attempt to destabilize  South Caucasus as electoral strategy - Ruben Safrastyan

Turkish President Recep Erdogan could well attempt to destabilize  South Caucasus as electoral strategy - Ruben Safrastyan

ArmInfo.Turkish President Recep Erdogan could well attempt to destabilize the South Caucasus to consolidate his positions before the 2023 elections, Professor Ruben  Safrastyan said in an interview with ArmInfo. 

He does not rule out foreign policy gambling to distract public  attention from the grave socio-economic situation in Turkey, which  would enable Turkey to try to destabilize the situation in the  Caucasus by means of Azerbaijan, purely for domestic political gain. 

"It should be noted at this point that the recent polls show the  ruling Justice and Development Party second for the first time over  two decades, surrendering the top place to the Kemalist Republican  People's Party.  However, other polls show Erdogan as the most  popular Turkish politician, who, according to Turkish and foreign  experts, is most likely to win the run-off," Mr Safrastyan said. 

The rumors have been circulating in Turkey over the last year about   the Turkish president's intention to hold an early presidential   election this November. This June, however, Erdogan stated once again   that no early presidential or parliamentary elections would be held   in the country, and the elections would take place in June 2023.   Recep Erdogan's traditional rival, the Republican People's Party, is  claiming that by means of early elections the Turkish president is  seeking to identify his falling rating, with all the recent polls  being evidence thereof. 

Anyway, the sad socio-economic and financial situation in Turkey and  widespread popular discontent is sure to affect the rating of Recep  Erdogan and his Justice and Development Party. And any realistic  forecasts are too early to make given the ruling party's shaky  positions in confronting a six-party opposition coalition. 

"I think that a victory of the Republican People's Party over Erdogan  would bring about changes in Turkey's policy toward Armenia, as that  state's foreign policy would be more predictable and more coordinated  with the West - the USA and NATO. However, I do not expect any  radical changes in Turkey's regional policy and its policy toward  Armenia," Mr Safrastyan said.

POST A COMMENT
Input digits     

News
Azerbaijan declared its constant readiness for negotiations with  Armenia in Russia and other venuesAzerbaijan declared its constant readiness for negotiations with Armenia in Russia and other venues
Regulations and procedures to be developed with United States to   attract more women to the RA Armed ForcesRegulations and procedures to be developed with United States to attract more women to the RA Armed Forces
Time will put everything in its place: Tigran Avinyan on the  accusations of the former Economy Minister Time will put everything in its place: Tigran Avinyan on the accusations of the former Economy Minister
Arayik Harutyunyan and Jerome Leyraud discussed electoral reformsArayik Harutyunyan and Jerome Leyraud discussed electoral reforms
Expert: The Armenian-Azerbaijani and Armenian-Turkish processes  remained Expert: The Armenian-Azerbaijani and Armenian-Turkish processes remained "orphaned" with Biden`s withdrawal from the presidential race
Closing ceremony of joint Armenia-US military exercise took place in ArmeniaClosing ceremony of joint Armenia-US military exercise took place in Armenia
Geopolitics behind EU`s plans to allocate EUR 10mln for Armenia`s  armed forces - Maria Zakharova Geopolitics behind EU`s plans to allocate EUR 10mln for Armenia`s armed forces - Maria Zakharova
Armenia`s former human rights defender presents Aliyev regime`s  crimes against Artsakh, Armenia`s border regionsArmenia`s former human rights defender presents Aliyev regime`s crimes against Artsakh, Armenia`s border regions
Armenian Polytechnic University Team Enters Top 3 in American Control  Conference 2024 Unmanned Vehicle CompetitionArmenian Polytechnic University Team Enters Top 3 in American Control Conference 2024 Unmanned Vehicle Competition
South-Caucasus states, neighboring partner-states must decide on  region`s future - Maria ZakharovaSouth-Caucasus states, neighboring partner-states must decide on region`s future - Maria Zakharova
ROC to construct new diocesan center in YerevanROC to construct new diocesan center in Yerevan
RF Presidential Committee chairman asks Armenian ambassador to deal  with discrimination of Russian citizens at Zvartnots airport RF Presidential Committee chairman asks Armenian ambassador to deal with discrimination of Russian citizens at Zvartnots airport
French-Armenian philanthropist Raymond Yezeguelian dies French-Armenian philanthropist Raymond Yezeguelian dies
MEP demands clarification about EU trade relations with AzerbaijanMEP demands clarification about EU trade relations with Azerbaijan
Armenian ambassador holds meetings in Belgrade Armenian ambassador holds meetings in Belgrade
Russian, Azerbaijani deputy FMs discuss South Caucasus Russian, Azerbaijani deputy FMs discuss South Caucasus
Commission launches a dialogue on visa liberalisation with ArmeniaCommission launches a dialogue on visa liberalisation with Armenia
Framatome is interested in development of nuclear energy sector in  Armenia Framatome is interested in development of nuclear energy sector in Armenia
Catherine Colonna welcomes the decision of European Peace FacilityCatherine Colonna welcomes the decision of European Peace Facility
"Fridays for the Future": European politicians signed new gas deals with the Azerbaijani dictator under the guise of ethnic cleansing in Artsakh
US Embassy: US Embassy: "Eagle Partner 24" is one of the next initiatives of long-term Armenian-American defense cooperation
Russian and Azerbaijani deputy FMs discuss bilateral cooperationRussian and Azerbaijani deputy FMs discuss bilateral cooperation
U.S. advisor to be funded by Department of StateU.S. advisor to be funded by Department of State
Tragic and bloody chapter in the history of Nagorno Karabakh unfolded  about ten months ago - ERTTragic and bloody chapter in the history of Nagorno Karabakh unfolded about ten months ago - ERT
Armenian Security Council Sec meets with Save Armenia delegationArmenian Security Council Sec meets with Save Armenia delegation
Lavash Magic festival takes place in Shirak Lavash Magic festival takes place in Shirak
Whole Armenian nation imprisoned now - Vahagn ChakhalyanWhole Armenian nation imprisoned now - Vahagn Chakhalyan
Armenia`s premier congratulates president of Egypt Armenia`s premier congratulates president of Egypt
Opposition Armenian MP holds meetings in Belgium Opposition Armenian MP holds meetings in Belgium
I am supporting the idea of civic movement defying hypocrisy and  demanding truly peaceful COP29 - Luis Moreno OcampoI am supporting the idea of civic movement defying hypocrisy and demanding truly peaceful COP29 - Luis Moreno Ocampo
Historic decision as EU agreed to start visa liberalization dialogue,  EPF support for Armenia - Estonian FM Historic decision as EU agreed to start visa liberalization dialogue, EPF support for Armenia - Estonian FM
Armenia and Azerbaijan continue to make significant progress toward  finalizing peace agreement - U.S.  Department of StateArmenia and Azerbaijan continue to make significant progress toward finalizing peace agreement - U.S. Department of State
Ambassador of France: Registration for a French visa is individual  and freeAmbassador of France: Registration for a French visa is individual and free
Rosstat revealed the Rosstat revealed the "portrait" of migrants in Russia - Armenia accounts for 9% of visitors
Prime Minister of Georgia: Trump victory in the US presidential  elections can end war in Ukraine and stabilize the situation in the  South CaucasusPrime Minister of Georgia: Trump victory in the US presidential elections can end war in Ukraine and stabilize the situation in the South Caucasus
Ararat Mirzoyan participates in round table at the British  International Institute for Strategic Studies Ararat Mirzoyan participates in round table at the British International Institute for Strategic Studies
Armenian citizens are subjected to severe discrimination by the  Bulgarian border policeArmenian citizens are subjected to severe discrimination by the Bulgarian border police
Armenia wins 5 bronze medals at International Mathematics OlympiadArmenia wins 5 bronze medals at International Mathematics Olympiad
Papikyan thanks EU and its member states for the decision to support  Armenia Papikyan thanks EU and its member states for the decision to support Armenia
IDBank continues the IDBank continues the "By Your Side" Program
Representatives of Turkmenistan and ADNOC discussed the state and prospects of cooperation in the gas sectorRepresentatives of Turkmenistan and ADNOC discussed the state and prospects of cooperation in the gas sector
French Ambassador commented on liberalizaton talks with ArmeniaFrench Ambassador commented on liberalizaton talks with Armenia
Armenia`s Ambassador to Greece met with the Commander of the NATO Rapid Deployment Corps in  GreeceArmenia`s Ambassador to Greece met with the Commander of the NATO Rapid Deployment Corps in Greece
Pashinyan sends condolence message over death of the Secretary  General of the CVP Communist Party of VietnamPashinyan sends condolence message over death of the Secretary General of the CVP Communist Party of Vietnam
Earthquake in Georgia felt in Armenia Earthquake in Georgia felt in Armenia
Armenian premier`s office proposes joint mechanism to investigate  ceasefire violations on border to Baku Armenian premier`s office proposes joint mechanism to investigate ceasefire violations on border to Baku
Armenia`s premier congratulates Lithuanian counterpart Armenia`s premier congratulates Lithuanian counterpart
Declaration on Armenia`s independence must never be changed - expertDeclaration on Armenia`s independence must never be changed - expert
Yerevan welcomes decisions on liberalization of visa regime -  Armenian FMYerevan welcomes decisions on liberalization of visa regime - Armenian FM
Yerevan, Athens discuss initiatives to develop bilateral relationsYerevan, Athens discuss initiatives to develop bilateral relations
Yerevan reluctant to open brackets - opposition MP Yerevan reluctant to open brackets - opposition MP
Donald Trump will have to fight half of world after Biden leaves Donald Trump will have to fight half of world after Biden leaves
Azerbaijan invItes Armenia to COP29Azerbaijan invItes Armenia to COP29
"Eagle Partner 2024 exercise showcases ability to collaborate and operate in joint, high-intensity environment - U.S., European Command
CE Foreign Relations Council to consider results of dialogue on visa  liberalization with Armenia CE Foreign Relations Council to consider results of dialogue on visa liberalization with Armenia
2% of Georgian respodents consider Armenia principal friend 2% of Georgian respodents consider Armenia principal friend 
Armenia supports Cyprus on 50th anniversary of occupation of northern  CyprusArmenia supports Cyprus on 50th anniversary of occupation of northern  Cyprus
Meeting of the heads of transport departments of Turkmenistan, Kazakhstan and Afghanistan was heldMeeting of the heads of transport departments of Turkmenistan, Kazakhstan and Afghanistan was held
Retired Russian official makes revelations about secret meetings  before de-Armenianization of Artsakh Retired Russian official makes revelations about secret meetings  before de-Armenianization of Artsakh 
21-year-old karateka dies suddenly 21-year-old karateka dies suddenly 
Read more



Commented