ArmInfo.Russia's objective geopolitical weakening and the resulting vacuum in the South Caucasus will undoubtedly try to fill other centers of power. National security expert Hrachya Arzumanyan expressed a similar opinion to ArmInfo.
In his opinion, these geopolitical realities now pose a task for Yerevan to choose the forces capable of deterring Turkey's potential aggression against Armenia, in the conditions mentioned above, the objective weakening of the Russian Federation and the inability of the Armenian Armed Forces to solve tasks of this level, at least in the coming years.
In this light, the expert considers that even if Moscow suddenly decides to solve this problem, then its strategic alliance with Ankara will inevitably get in the way. Not to mention the fact that after the Ukrainian war, the Russian Federation may simply not be able to do this. And here the question arises of who can replace the Russian Federation as a deterrent to the Turkish threat, the issue, which, according to the expert, is not addressed by Armenian politics and diplomacy.
Moreover, in Arzumanyan's opinion, the lack of trust in the current Armenian government as a whole leaves no way to trust the documents it signs. Especially considering that these documents, as a rule, are supplemented by verbal agreements, about which nothing is known not only to the public, but also to the expert and analytical community as a whole.
"And now, the parliamentary opposition launched a street struggle for power in this situation, in which Artsakh continues to be occupied. A struggle in which there is not only a strategy and policy, but also real concern for the future of this very Artsakh. These people have lost power and now they are just trying to regain it. And it's all. While in the current situation, the first task of all political forces is to restore the country after a 44-day catastrophe. First of all, the restoration of the army, the formation of a fundamentally new system of defense and security," Arzumanyan summed up.