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 Thursday, April 14 2022 19:17
David Stepanyan

Forecast: As a chain of Western geopolitics, the Brussels meeting  turns the Caucasus into a second Ukraine

Forecast: As a chain of Western geopolitics, the Brussels meeting  turns the Caucasus into a second Ukraine

ArmInfo.The Michel-Pashinyan-Aliyev Brussels meeting, as a chain of Western geopolitics, leads to turning the South Caucasus into a second Ukraine. Political  scientist Stepan Danielyan expressed a similar opinion to ArmInfo.

"In fact, the initiators of the Brussels meeting of the leaders of  Armenia and Azerbaijan did not at all prepare a peace treaty between  the two countries, but pushed them to a new big war, technologically  very similar to the war that is now going on in Ukraine.  To put it  simply, the EU today needs to create a situation in which the Russian  military will first leave Artsakh, and then Armenia, which will give  them the opportunity to start moving into Central Asia through NATO  Turkey," he said.

According to the forecasts of the political scientist, such a  scenario, no doubt, will be met with hostility by Russia and Iran.  The latter, in his opinion, is already seriously considering the  prospect of turning the South Caucasus into another Ukraine.  Danielyan is convinced that the organization of a "second front" in  the South Caucasus with the participation of Russia, Iran and Turkey,  in general, is a desirable scenario for the West. The implementation  of which, among other things, will make it possible to drive Turkey  back into the zone of its own influence. And, of course, further  weaken the ambitions of Moscow and Tehran.

Such a desire of the West, taking into account the great interests in  the implementation of this scenario, the political scientist  considers natural. According to him, the desire of the West to  compress the zones of Russian influence specifically in the Caucasus  rests on the Russian military presence in Artsakh and Armenia. In  light of which, the only way to remove it is the recognition of  Artsakh as part of Azerbaijan, followed by the deportation of Artsakh  Armenians. Which will completely deprive the Russian Federation of  the justification for its own military presence in Artsakh.

"In this light, the attempts of the West to oust the Russian  Federation from the OSCE Minsk Group co- chairmanship also look quite  logical and expected. The task of the MG was to keep the Karabakh  conflict in a frozen state until the start of an acute phase of  geopolitical rivalry between the West and the Russian Federation in  Ukraine. And we see that this rivalry is already spilling over into  the South Caucasus. Let's accept a simple fact - the West is  absolutely not an enemy of the Armenian people. It just so happened  that at this stage our interests do not coincide. By its very  existence, Artsakh prevents the displacement of Russia from the South  Caucasus. Accordingly, the task of the West in Brussels was to force  Yerevan to recognize Baku's jurisdiction over Artsakh. With all the  ensuing and planned geopolitical consequences in Washington and  Brussels," the political scientist summed up.

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