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 Friday, February 11 2022 12:17
David Stepanyan

Aliyev will reject Yerevan`s proposals hoping to grab more - Robert  Gevondyan

Aliyev will reject Yerevan`s proposals hoping to grab more - Robert  Gevondyan

ArmInfo. By means of steps similar to the video conference with the participation of the Armenian, French and Azerbaijani leaders and of President of the  European Council Charles Michel, Paris is seeking to emphasize its  role in the ongoing processes in the south Caucasus, the political  scientist Robert Gevondyan told ArmInfo.

 "Thus, with the OSCE Minsk Groups being actually inactive, France, following Russia's example, is seeking to become another platform for a dialogue between Yervan  and Baku. And Paris' aspiration is, by and large, in Armenia's  interests - primarily in view of diversification of the major actors  in the settlement process. Defending and advancing Armenia's  interests with Moscow being the only mediator is a rather difficult  task to accomplish," he said.   

As regards the OSCE Minsk Group's inactivity, Mr Gevondyan believes  the reason is Baku sparing no effort to torpedo this format.  Azerbaijan is seeking to persuade everyone that this format has  exhausted its potential. These prospects are not at all in Armenia's  interests, and Yerevan must spare no effort to ensure the opposite. 

On the other hand, Baku cannot reject all the formats, as it will  appear counterproductive. And this is the reason for Baku's  involvement in the French initiatives. Aliyev is perfectly aware of  the risks he is facing, particularly the Minsk Group's reincarnation,  so he is seeking to defuse the situation by participating in the  Paris initiative. 

As to the United State's role and policy, it is delegating its  allies, particularly France, with powers.  Moreover, the USA is  thereby "managing" certain processes. In this context, Mr Gevondyan  points out a striking difference between the Joe Biden  administration's policy and that implemented by his predecessor  Donald Trump. 

"It is clear that such formats should not be expected to ensure any  breakthrough in the settlement process.  As regards Aliyev's becoming  more yielding, it requires not only mediatory efforts, but also  Armenia's becoming a stronger international person. This is the only  thing that could force Baku into minor concessions only to prevent  major ones in the future. In the current situation, however,  Azerbaijan will reject all the proposals by Armenia, as they think  they can grab even more," Mr Gevondyan said.

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