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 Thursday, January 27 2022 14:20
David Stepanyan

Forecast: The results of the U.S.-Russia talks can concretize the  future of the OSCE Minsk Group

Forecast: The results of the U.S.-Russia talks can concretize the  future of the OSCE Minsk Group

ArmInfo.The prospect of activating the OSCE Minsk Group depends primarily on the prospects for resolving the military-political crisis actually observed between  its co-chair countries. A similar opinion was expressed to ArmInfo by  Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary, former Minister of  Foreign Affairs of Artsakh Arman Melikyan.

"In this light, it seems necessary to wait, at least, for the  intermediate results of the negotiations between Moscow and  Washington. I think that these results, among other things, are also  capable of bringing certainty to the future of the OSCE Minsk Group.  Taking into account the results of the 44-day war, today the  situation is such that in order to simply get to Stepanakert from  Armenia, the co-chairs need to obtain the consent of the peacekeepers  of the Russian Federation," he stressed.

According to the diplomat, an additional element of the problem is  the need for Azerbaijan's consent to the entry of the Minsk Group  Co-Chairs into Artsakh. First of all, due to the fact that the  Russian Federation, which actually controls the entry and exit to  Artsakh, being a co-chairing country, on the other hand, signed an  agreement with Armenia and Azerbaijan on the normalization of  Armenian-Azerbaijani relations.

On January 26, U.S. Ambassador to the Russian Federation John J.  Sullivan handed over to the Russian Foreign Ministry a written  response to Moscow's proposals on security guarantees. On the same  day, U.S.  Secretary of State Antony Blinken said that "the U.S.  response includes concerns about Russia's actions and the American  side's proposal." "We will not publish the document in order to have  space for closed negotiations. However, its content is similar to our  public statements on this topic. We will not compromise NATO's open  door principle. At the same time, there are positive aspects in the  document, which can be worked on if Moscow is ready," Blinken  stressed.

Returning to the topic of the current stage of the confrontation  between the United States and the Russian Federation, Melikyan  mentioned that Moscow does not aim at a military invasion or a  large-scale war with Ukraine. According to him, at this stage, the  conflict is characterized by hostile military-political rhetoric,  even greater militarization of the already conflict region, through  the importation of weapons, instructors and volunteers. At the same  time, the diplomat does not forecast a large-scale war, considering  the aggravation of the situation in the south-east of Ukraine as the  most probable and  maximum. In his opinion, due to a number of  reasons that are different in nature, Moscow and Washington, having  an interest in escalating the situation to the maximum possible, are  not interested in their own direct military involvement in a possible  conflict on the territory of Ukraine.

"I can state that, in fact, the start of a war between the Russian  Federation and Ukraine is completely unacceptable neither for the  Russian Federation and the United States, nor for their closest  allies. In this light, they are making great efforts to create as  much noise as possible, which they quite succeed in. The incident of  the whole this situation is that, in fact, it has absolutely nothing  to do with solving the problems themselves, moreover, both between  the Russian Federation and Ukraine, and between the Russian  Federation and the collective West as a whole. I personally do not  see in favor of its early resolution," the diplomat summed up.


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