Arminfo.info




 Friday, January 21 2022 14:11
David Stepanyan

Forecast: An equal withdrawal of troops will end in a new war rather  than peace

Forecast: An equal withdrawal of troops will end in a new war rather  than peace

ArmInfo.The equal withdrawal of troops proposed by the Armenian authorities to Azerbaijan, followed by delimitation and demarcation of borders, will end in a  new war rather than peace. Ara Papyan, head of the Modus Vivendi  analytical center, expressed a similar opinion to ArmInfo.

Earlier, Armenian Foreign Minister Ararat Mirzoyan announced a  package of proposals submitted to Azerbaijan by Armenia to  de-escalate the situation in the border zone, through an equal  withdrawal of troops, the establishment of additional security  mechanisms, which will speed up the formation of a commission for the  delimitation and demarcation of the border.

On January 20, Security Council Secretary Armen Grigoryan told  reporters that Baku had not yet responded to Yerevan's proposals.  According to him, in the event of a withdrawal of troops, the maps of  the Soviet period will be taken as a basis. According to Grigoryan,  as a result of the delimitation and demarcation of the border, the  settlements of Armenia will not be in the neutral zone, since during  the equal withdrawal of troops the Armenian military will be deployed  exactly near the border settlements. 

"I do not at all share the optimism of our leadership, which believes  that such measures can avoid another war in the future. On the  contrary, an equal withdrawal of troops will be another opportunity  for Baku to gain a foothold in new positions and begin preparations  for another aggression. And I do not think that Azerbaijan will have  to look for a long time and think about a pretext for another attack.  One way or another, if desired, Baku can always stage another  provocation and blame us for it," he said.

The analyst is convinced that the implementation of the equal  withdrawal is completely unprofitable for its initiator Armenia,  since the Armenian military, unlike the Azerbaijani ones, will  retreat on their territory.  First of all, due to Azerbaijan's  failure to fulfill its own obligations, even within the framework of  the ill- fated tripartite statement of November 9, 2020. Despite  Armen Grigoryan's assurances, Papyan considers the prospect of  Armenian border villages being in the neutral zone proposed by  Yerevan a separate threat.

According to Papyan, Azerbaijan has already violated, in many places,  even the administrative borders of the times of the Armenian and  Azerbaijan SSR. Not to mention the fact that the borders between the  republics of a single sovereign state - the USSR cannot and should  not be a guideline for determining the borders of two sovereign  states. The latter, in his opinion, should be determined on the basis  of maps of the times of existence of independent, recognized by the  international community, the Republic of Armenia and the Republic of  Azerbaijan. The analyst evaluates all other proposals as ridiculous  and ultimatum. At least only because they are conditioned by the  desire to ensure the next retreat of Armenia under the threat of war. 


News
Armenian FM presented Armenian`s position on Karabakh to his  counterparts from Macedonia and Serbia Armenian FM presented Armenian`s position on Karabakh to his  counterparts from Macedonia and Serbia 
Armenia refutes another misinformation of AzerbaijanArmenia refutes another misinformation of Azerbaijan
Armenian, Irish FMs discuss bilateral cooperationArmenian, Irish FMs discuss bilateral cooperation
RA NA Deputy Speaker presented in detail to Iranian Ambassador  process of normalization of Armenian-Turkish relationsRA NA Deputy Speaker presented in detail to Iranian Ambassador  process of normalization of Armenian-Turkish relations
Signing of any document is not planned in Brussels: Armenian Security  Council SecretarySigning of any document is not planned in Brussels: Armenian Security  Council Secretary
Armenian PM, Lithuanian President exchange views on regional  situation and developmentsArmenian PM, Lithuanian President exchange views on regional  situation and developments
Armenian police do not allow members of Resistance Movement to hold  marchArmenian police do not allow members of Resistance Movement to hold  march
US Ambassador to Armenia expresses concern over violations of  protesters` rights at opposition ralliesUS Ambassador to Armenia expresses concern over violations of  protesters` rights at opposition rallies
On May 20, Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, speaking at the On May 20, Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, speaking at the "Armenian Democracy Forum", touched upon the problems of Armenian democracy.  
Pashinyan called on all democratic forces of republic to unite around  peace agendaPashinyan called on all democratic forces of republic to unite around  peace agenda
Mirzoyan: If the Nagorno-Karabakh issue is solved, then why are we  still struggling for the repatriation of Armenian prisoners of war  and detainees?Mirzoyan: If the Nagorno-Karabakh issue is solved, then why are we  still struggling for the repatriation of Armenian prisoners of war  and detainees?
Andrea Wiktorin: Armenia needs a responsible, independent and  pluralistic media Andrea Wiktorin: Armenia needs a responsible, independent and  pluralistic media 
Armenian FM briefed his Czech counterpart on Yerevan`s position on  establishing peace and stability in regionArmenian FM briefed his Czech counterpart on Yerevan`s position on  establishing peace and stability in region
Expert: The third meeting in the Pashinyan-Mishel-Aliyev format  speaks about the resuscitation of the OSCE Minsk GroupExpert: The third meeting in the Pashinyan-Mishel-Aliyev format  speaks about the resuscitation of the OSCE Minsk Group
Cavusoglu: Yerevan should respond positively to Baku`s peace  initiativesCavusoglu: Yerevan should respond positively to Baku`s peace  initiatives
Vahagn Khachaturyan, Gitanas Nauseda discuss Armenia`s efforts to  establish long-term peace in regionVahagn Khachaturyan, Gitanas Nauseda discuss Armenia`s efforts to  establish long-term peace in region
Armenian Democracy forum in Yerevan: opposition MPs, journalists not  allowed to attendArmenian Democracy forum in Yerevan: opposition MPs, journalists not  allowed to attend
Lithuania contributing to Armenian-Azerbaijani agreement - Gitanas  NausedaLithuania contributing to Armenian-Azerbaijani agreement - Gitanas  Nauseda
Lithuanian president pays tribute to Armenian Genocide victimsLithuanian president pays tribute to Armenian Genocide victims
Armenia`s Human Rights Defender hosts Russian AmbassadorArmenia`s Human Rights Defender hosts Russian Ambassador
Documentary about Marshal Sergei Khudyakov to be shown in YerevanDocumentary about Marshal Sergei Khudyakov to be shown in Yerevan
Official Yerevan comments on Ilham Aliyev`s accusations Official Yerevan comments on Ilham Aliyev`s accusations 
Artsakh Ombudsman on number of Karabakh villages occupied by  Azerbaijan and number of Armenian captives Artsakh Ombudsman on number of Karabakh villages occupied by  Azerbaijan and number of Armenian captives 
CSTO PA meeting to be held in YerevanCSTO PA meeting to be held in Yerevan
Sergey Glazyev: Armenia is strong with its external relationsSergey Glazyev: Armenia is strong with its external relations
Diplomat: In cooperation with the United States, Armenia will be able  to restore its vestibular capacity in the surrounding regionDiplomat: In cooperation with the United States, Armenia will be able  to restore its vestibular capacity in the surrounding region
Aliyev accuses Armenia of disrupting agreed meeting of working group  on border delimitationAliyev accuses Armenia of disrupting agreed meeting of working group  on border delimitation
Azerbaijan, Iran discusses establishment of new communications  in Nakhichevan through IranAzerbaijan, Iran discusses establishment of new communications  in Nakhichevan through Iran
Forecast: Russia`s geopolitical weakening and the resulting vacuum in  the South Caucasus will try to fill other centers of powerForecast: Russia`s geopolitical weakening and the resulting vacuum in  the South Caucasus will try to fill other centers of power
Mirzoyan presents to Borrell Armenia`s position on the settlement of  the Karabakh conflictMirzoyan presents to Borrell Armenia`s position on the settlement of  the Karabakh conflict
EU-Armenia relations EU-Armenia relations "very good", but further reforms needed - Josep  Borrell
Armenia expects Czech Republic`s political support in launching  dialogue on the visa liberalization with EU - Alen SimonyanArmenia expects Czech Republic`s political support in launching  dialogue on the visa liberalization with EU - Alen Simonyan
Armen Grigoryan: The process of demarcation and delimitation should  take place within the logic of the Brussels and Sochi statementsArmen Grigoryan: The process of demarcation and delimitation should  take place within the logic of the Brussels and Sochi statements
Armenia`s premier meets with nonparliamentary political forcesArmenia`s premier meets with nonparliamentary political forces
As OSCE MG co-chair, United States recognizes Nagorno-Karabakh  population`s role in deciding its future - Lynne TracyAs OSCE MG co-chair, United States recognizes Nagorno-Karabakh  population`s role in deciding its future - Lynne Tracy
United States supports dialogue between Turkey and Armenia - Lynne  Tracy United States supports dialogue between Turkey and Armenia - Lynne  Tracy 
Armen Grigoryan refutes information about Armenia`s appeal to CSTO to  resolve  internal political situationArmen Grigoryan refutes information about Armenia`s appeal to CSTO to  resolve  internal political situation
Situation in South Caucasus among issues on Blinken-Cavusoglu meeting   agendaSituation in South Caucasus among issues on Blinken-Cavusoglu meeting   agenda
Ambassador Tracy gets final Failing ANCA grade Ambassador Tracy gets final Failing ANCA grade 
Armenia-EU Partnership Council holds 4th meeting in Brussels Armenia-EU Partnership Council holds 4th meeting in Brussels 
RA Human Rights Defender`s Office  keeps track of developments RA Human Rights Defender`s Office  keeps track of developments 
Resistance Movement resumes protestsResistance Movement resumes protests
Armenia expects EU`s support for peace process under OSCE Minsk Group  Co-Chairmanship - Armenian FMArmenia expects EU`s support for peace process under OSCE Minsk Group  Co-Chairmanship - Armenian FM
Azerbaijan-proposed points do not cover entire peace agreement agenda  - Armenian FM Azerbaijan-proposed points do not cover entire peace agreement agenda  - Armenian FM 
Russian Foreign Ministry: The Russian side highly appreciates the  activities of the trilateral working groupRussian Foreign Ministry: The Russian side highly appreciates the  activities of the trilateral working group
Russian Embassy issued statement on Russia-Armenia cooperation in  field of biosafetyRussian Embassy issued statement on Russia-Armenia cooperation in  field of biosafety
Armenia expects political support of Czech Republic in the issue of  visa liberalization with EUArmenia expects political support of Czech Republic in the issue of  visa liberalization with EU
Lynne Tracy: US committed to continue helping Armenian people build  future based on shared democratic valuesLynne Tracy: US committed to continue helping Armenian people build  future based on shared democratic values
Armenia, Egypt discuss possibilities of strengthening cooperation in  field of combating corruptionArmenia, Egypt discuss possibilities of strengthening cooperation in  field of combating corruption
Deputy FMs of Armenia, Italian parliamentarians discuss current  situation in South CaucasusDeputy FMs of Armenia, Italian parliamentarians discuss current  situation in South Caucasus
Attempts to block Telegram and Signal were recorded in ArmeniaAttempts to block Telegram and Signal were recorded in Armenia
Armenia, France deepen cultural cooperationArmenia, France deepen cultural cooperation
125 museums of Armenia and Artsakh to take part in events of  International Museum Day 125 museums of Armenia and Artsakh to take part in events of  International Museum Day 
Yerevan Underground stymiedYerevan Underground stymied
Opposition`s Opposition`s "toxic nature" accounts for absence of broad masses  outside - Karen Sargsyan
Human Rights Defender`s Office responds to violations Human Rights Defender`s Office responds to violations 
United States to play key role in ensuring Armenia`s security in  future world order - Ruben MehrabyanUnited States to play key role in ensuring Armenia`s security in  future world order - Ruben Mehrabyan
Armenia`s defense office refutes Azerbaijan`s claims Armenia`s defense office refutes Azerbaijan`s claims 
73 protesters detained in Yerevan 73 protesters detained in Yerevan 
Resistance Movement resumes protests Resistance Movement resumes protests 
Read more



Commented