Arminfo.info



 Wednesday, December 15 2021 17:23
David Stepanyan

Forecast: One should not expect full implementation of "3 + 3" 

Forecast: One should not expect full implementation of "3 + 3" 

ArmInfo. Yerevan's consent to participate in the "3 + 3" format initiated by Turkey is conditioned by Nikol Pashinyan's personal ambitions and desire to demonstrate his  own capabilities in resolving issues with Turkey, that is, what his  predecessor did not succeed in within the framework of "football"  diplomacy.

Doctor of Historical Sciences Hayk Demoyan expressed a  similar opinion to ArmInfo .  On January 11, a meeting between the  deputy foreign ministers of Armenia, Russia, Iran, Turkey and  Azerbaijan was held in Moscow in the actual "3 + 2" format (without  Georgia). On December 13, Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu  announced that Yerevan and Ankara will appoint Special Envoys for  negotiations on the normalization of relations. Later, the press  secretary of the Armenian Foreign Ministry welcomed Cavusoglu's  statement, confirming Armenia's intentions to appoint its special  representative for the dialogue.

"As far as I understand, in this way the Armenian Prime Minister is  trying to secure a certain image for himself - political authority.  Pashinyan is trying to prove his own ability to resolve issues at the  highest level. In my opinion, in vein, since neither he nor his team  have the potential to resolve issues of this level .  These people  know only one thing - to carry out assignments, "he stressed.

Assessing the chances of "3 + 3" for implementation, Demoyan noted  that in the absence of one of the key puzzles of this regional  platform - Georgia, one should not expect full-fledged implementation  of this format. Recalling that Ankara is not initiating this format  for the first time - following the results of the War of 08.08.08,  Turkey also tried to somehow gain a foothold in the region, the  historian emphasized that following the 44-day war, there is a  completely different balance of power behind Turkey, by the way, the  NATO country, than it was in 2008. This, among other things, allows  Ankara to successfully play with Moscow.

"To understand the current realities in relations between Armenia and  Turkey, to understand the real prospects, the future of these  relations, we should return to history. The latter clearly says that  no empire will ever tolerate the existence of a self-sufficient and  stable statehood at its side. By the way, this concerns not only the  relations between Turkey and Armenia, but also the relations between  Turkey and Azerbaijan and the attitude of Russia towards Turkey  itself. Such a policy is a logical continuation of the imperial  policy. And it just so happened that Armenia is in the region next to  the three successors of the former empires. Who, completely openly,  voice their appetites in response to which we smile, shrug, but do  not resist at all. Why is this happening? Because, Pashinyan and his  team are able to carry out orders, but they are not able to act on  their own initiative. Initially, no one demanded initiative from them  and does not demand it now," Demoyan concluded.

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