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 Friday, November 26 2021 13:11
David Stepanyan

Analyst: It is quite difficult to predict the prospects for the  establishment of Armenian-Turkish relations

Analyst: It is quite difficult to predict the prospects for the  establishment of Armenian-Turkish relations

ArmInfo. Sooner or later, taking into account the general situation in the region, as well as the prospects of unblocking regional communications, negotiations in  all problematic areas of Armenian-Turkish relations will become a  necessity. Fyodor Lukyanov,  Research Director of the Foundation for  Development and Support of the Valdai Discussion Club, told ArmInfo.

"Russia has publicly voiced its proposals for mediation in the  process of normalizing relations between Armenia and Turkey. And, in  my opinion, Armenia should have long ago started to pursue a  proactive policy in all possible and promising vectors. After all, a  military defeat in last year's war should not be considered the end  of the world for Armenia at all. I think that Yerevan should try to  cover the damage done to the country in the diplomatic field, "he  stressed.

Earlier, the Armenian Foreign Ministry, during discussions with  Russian colleagues, informed about Yerevan's readiness to normalize  relations with Ankara. On November 25,  official representative of  the Russian Foreign Ministry, Maria Zakharova, voiced the Russian  Federation's readiness to assist this process, stressing the interest  and efforts of Moscow towards the normalization of Armenian-Turkish  relations.

Assessing today's Turkey as one of the most complex regional states,  the analyst, in this light, sees the need for a careful calculation  of any step taken by Yerevan in the direction of Ankara. In the  context of the prospects for changes in Turkish policy towards  Armenia, Lukyanov recalled that Erdogan's Turkey  rarely changes its  attitudes in relations even with major powers. In his opinion, in the light of the absence of real progress around the Turkish vision of a  peace treaty and the unblocking of communications between Armenia and Azerbaijan, it is rather difficult to predict the prospects for the  establishment of Armenian-Turkish relations.  

"As for the position and intentions of the Armenian leadership, they  seem to be hoping for a solution with Turkey, which will not be  connected with Ankara's relations with Baku, I can assume that with  the active mediation of the West. However, the extreme coordination  of the maximalist positions of Ankara and Baku has already created a  rather difficult, if not a dead-end situation in the negotiations.  But given the absence of preconditions on the part of Yerevan, which  in turn expects a similar position from Ankara, we should wait for  the very process between Armenia and Turkey. The real prospects of  the Armenian-Turkish reconciliation can become clearer only with its  beginning, "the Russian analyst summed up.  

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