ArmInfo. Russian Orientalist and Economist, President of the Independent Scientific Center "Institute of the Middle East Evgeny Satanovsky spoke about the unrest in Turkey, and the possible resulting processes from it against the background of the fall of the lira.
Thus, according to the professor, the unrest with noisy demands for the resignation of the government, for the resignation of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and for the removal of his Justice and Development Party from power in Turkey, where the national currency has once again sagged, caused a sharp, but little based attention among politicians and journalists of neighboring countries, including Armenia.
"Isn't this the beginning of Erdogan's end? Will Turkey reduce the pressure on neighboring countries, especially on Yerevan (more than understandable expectations against the background of tension around the "Zangezur Corridor", and not only among the residents of the Lachin region of Armenia, who are primarily concerned)? "Will the problems in the economy stop the Turkish expansion in the post-Soviet space, for which the Turks simply do not have enough money? And so on in the same vein," the Russian scientist noted.
According to Satanovsky, in fact, all these processes are likely to only accelerate the actions of the Turkish authorities. According to him, now Turkey needs new markets and new sources of energy, and the Transcaucasia, Kazakhstan and Central Asia provide it with all of this, as well as the Turkic regions of Russia, with whom Turkish businessmen are forging ever closer ties, opening the way for specialists in promoting the Turkish version of political Islam in the style of the Muslim Brotherhood and pan-Turkic ideology. The Orientalist believes that Erdogan's appetites are large, and his plans are even greater, so that Turkish Islamist foundations are also training people for Muslims in India and China, and for Indonesia and Germany, and for Russian regions, including the completely secular Yakutia, where Orthodoxy and traditional beliefs are the most widespread of religions. "But the Yakuts are Turks as well? Turks. This is more than enough for Erdogan. What optimists who sincerely believe that problems in the Turkish economy will stop Erdogan do not understand is that any difficulties in domestic politics are most easily resolved in conditions of external conflicts. So they are often untied precisely in order to distract the population from dissatisfaction with their superiors and their course. This is the basic of practical political science, but no one ever takes them into account, and in vain. So the aggressive foreign policy of Turkey and its president will not change, but on the contrary, this country will be even more conflicted than it is today. Erdogan has nowhere to retreat, and who to attack: Paris with Berlin, Moscow with Yerevan or Delhi with Beijing, wringing out everything that he succeeds in, and in general, he does not care, even USA, that he is successfully demonstrating in Syria. Such a person, such an era ... ", summed up Satanovsky.
On November 23, Turkey recorded the maximum drop in the exchange rate of the national currency against the dollar over the past 20 years. Against this background, even Apple has suspended sales of its devices in Turkey. After record inflation, spontaneous protests took place in Istanbul and Ankara. The protesters demanded the resignation of the government and the ruling Justice and Development Party. The police dispersed the demonstrators. According to media reports, the collapse of the Turkish Lira boomerang in the northern regions of Syria, which are controlled by the Ankara-backed opposition. As the lira fell sharply against the dollar in parts of Idlib and Hama governorates, food prices were reported to have jumped 400%, fuel prices by 350% and non-food items by 200%.
According to experts, the protest actions in Turkey will die out on their own and will not be able to have a serious impact on the internal political processes in the country.