Forecast: Turkey will never stop in its aspirations for the East

ArmInfo.Armenia's withdrawal from the current, constantly aggravating security problems is primarily due to the change in psychology, respectively, in the  thinking of our leadership. Independent analyst Saro Saroyan  expressed this opinion to ArmInfo.

"Only after this will our leadership be able to realize the  impossibility of building a policy in our region on the basis of  ideas of false peacefulness. Only then will it be possible to form an  Armenian real politic on the basis of a multi-vector, comparing the  interests of various powers, to a certain extent, an aggressive  militaristic policy that allows solving the problems of ensuring the  security of Armenia, "he stressed.

In Saroyan's opinion, against the background of the actual disruption  of the work of the institutions designed to ensure the security of  Armenia, the emergence of new problems with this particular security,  in particular, in the Syunik direction, was absolutely predictable.  Especially against the background of aggressively militaristic  sentiments of Baku, which during the year tried to build on last  year's success at any cost in order to solve a strategic task, that  is, to ensure direct ground communication between Azerbaijan and  Turkey.

In the opinion of the analyst, against the background of such a  Turkic collective determination, it is futile to expect that Baku and  Ankara will not use the opportunities provided by Yerevan's  "peace-loving".  Accordingly, the current peace-loving policy of  Armenia aimed at building good-neighborly relations does not a priori  correspond to the current geopolitical realities in general, and the  goals of the Turkish- Azerbaijani tandem in particular.

According to Saroyan, the current geopolitical realities that serve  as a background for the situation around Armenia are characterized by  Turkish expansion in one of the most important directions of Ankara's  policy - to the East. According to him, through the existence of the  idea of the Turkic world, Turkey today has found significant  opportunities for expansion into the countries of Central Asia.  Including in the light of the recent events in Afghanistan, which  forces neighboring countries to look for new sources of security,  since everyone is already aware of Russia's inability to provide this  security.

"So, the implementation of Turkey's expansionist plans requires  expansion routes. And the only such way to the East for Turkey is the  South Caucasus, or more precisely, the Armenian Syunik. Therefore, we  must all be clear about one simple and elementary truth - Turkey will  never stop. And with the support of Azerbaijan and through it, they  will continue to try to solve the problem at any cost. They tried to  break through a corridor in the south of Syunik to Meghri but ran  into Iran there. Accordingly, now the Turks are trying to bypass this  obstacle and find a new way away from Iran's borders in Syunik, in  the Black Lake area, now in Vayots Dzor. And against this background,  our main problem is that we still hope that the Turks will stop, "the  analyst concluded.