ArmInfo. There is no reason to expect an early exit from the current state of geopolitical turbulence in the South Caucasus. Political scientist Stepan Danielyan expressed this opinion to ArmInfo.
"Given the constant increase in the number of countries wishing to take part in the Caucasian developments, I do not see any immediate prospects for signing any document regulating the situation, including in our region. We see that Iran and India have already joined the ranks of active players in our region. All this confuses the psituation even more, taking into account the external, rather serious and contradictory interests mixed in the region," he stressed.
In this light, the political scientist highlighted the processes around the "3 + 3" format. In his opinion, the recent consent and then refusal of Georgian Foreign Minister Zalkaliani to participate in this format, also speaks of a rather difficult situation in the region. A situation, in which the South Caucasus today is engulfed in a multi-vector, multidimensional geopolitical game, in which, judging by the behavior of Georgia, the United States and Europe are becoming more and more active.
According to Danielyan, in all these combinations, Armenia is not even assigned the role of a subject with an opinion that has to be taken into account. Moreover, Yerevan's steps in this game are dictated by various external forces. Which varies depending on who has more powerful levers of pressure on Armenia at one stage or another. The political scientist considers the last meeting of Putin-Pashinyan to be another synchronization of watches, which means that Armenia and the Russian Federation are pursuing a single line in this multi-vector and multi-combination geopolitical game.
In Danielyan's opinion, Azerbaijan in turn, also turned out to be not in the best positions in the current geopolitical games. First of all, due to the obvious military pressure from Iran. According to him, all the recent actions of the Iranian army on the border with Azerbaijan are a very serious warning to Baku from the groans of Tehran. According to the political scientist, that has already forced Aliyev to approach the situation and his own capabilities with a greater degree of sobriety.
"At the same time, we are witnessing the weakening of Turkey's geopolitical positions. The latter, among other things, is due to its gradual entanglement in parallel processes. And in light of the need to protect the Kurds and the appearance of the American military in Syria, we see an even greater deterioration in relations between Washington and Ankara. . Russia, in turn, is also putting pressure on Turkey, including in the same Syria. And Turkey, in turn, simply does not have the ability to put pressure on Russia today, "the political scientist summed up.