ArmInfo.At the moment, all states of our region, well as the as states related to our region, are preparing for new wars. Everyone except Armenia. A similar opinion was expressed to ArmInfo by an expert on security problems, doctor of political science Hrachya Arzumanyan.
Yesterday the Armenian media, referring to unnamed sources in Syunik, spread information about the preparation of Azerbaijan and Turkey for another aggression against Armenia. According to this information, on September 16-17 (the days of holding and summing up the results of the parliamentary elections in the Russian Federation), the Azerbaijani forces accumulated near the Black Lake intend to break through deep into the territory of Armenia in order to get a corridor to Turkey. On the Armenian side, the accumulation and concentration of military power is also observed in this area.
"There is an active preparation for military operations, because everyone understands that geopolitics in the South Caucasus and around is determined by military logic. I think it is wrong and unproductive to speak and reason about peace in such conditions, as our authorities do. The right words should be used, one should not lie to its own society and manipulate public opinion. I say this, meaning not only politicians, but also our public figures, experts, journalists, "he stressed.
According to Arzumanyan's forecasts, the end of the war with Azerbaijan should not be expected in the foreseeable future. In the case of the situation around Artsakh, the analyst considers the very use of the phrase "end of the war" absurd, as, since 1989 the war has never ended and continues today. There were only different stages of this war: truce and escalation. In this light, he recalled that in 1994 there was only a truce that was repeatedly violated subsequently, followed by another truce in November 2020, but again not peace.
In the current ceasefire, according to Arzumanyan, military actions on the borders of Armenia are replacing actions in the form of a hybrid war. This is how the analyst characterizes the latest actions of Turkey and Russia carried out on the Armenian borders through the Armed Forces of Azerbaijan. Against the background of the ongoing hybrid war, he considers talks about some other processes, especially about peace, to be completely meaningless.
According to the analyst, today's processes can be characterized as forcing Armenia exclusively into another war. And none of the players in the region is ready or going to promote a peaceful agenda. In this light, Arzumanyan is convinced of the need for Armenia's readiness and combat readiness not even for the expected, but for the ongoing war.
"Talking about peace in the region where Armenia is located is senseless, ridiculous and divorced from reality. And if we continue to do what we are doing today, we will very soon get another large-scale military action. This time within the framework of the approaches used in hybrid wars. And as a result, defeat, which may well end in the loss of even Armenia. There is no peace, there is creeping aggression, hybrid war, whatever, but not peace. And this must be understood, appropriate conclusions should be drawn and actions should be taken, " Arzumanyan summed up.