Political scientist: Prospects of Artsakh largely depend on the  prospects in relations between Washington and Moscow

ArmInfo. In the current situation around Artsakh, the prospects for relations between Armenia and Turkey largely depend on the impulses in relations between the  United States and Russia. Chairman of the Constructive Party,  political scientist Andrias Ghukasyan, expressed a similar opinion to  ArmInfo.

"Being the most influential of the persons related to the aggression  against Artsakh and Armenia unleashed by Ilham Aliyev on September 27  last year, it is the President of the Russian Federation who is in  the focus of US pressure on this track of the US-Russian agenda.  There is no doubt that Recep Erdogan also received his share of  threats in Washington, as evidenced by his sudden desire for peace  and desire to improve relations with Armenia, "he stressed.

According to the political scientist, the last conciliatory appeals  of the Turkish president and his readiness to open the borders and  establish diplomatic relations with Armenia are conditioned not by  his admiration for "beautiful Armenian eyes", but by the holding of  the UN General Assembly this month. According to Ghukasyan's  estimates, Erdogan is forced to verbally express such desires due to  the rather difficult situation in which Turkey found itself in the  period following the 44-day war.

Ghukasyan emphasized that he had no expectations from such statements  by Erdogan. First of all, due to the fact that Ankara continues to  condition the prospect of normalizing relations with Yerevan by its  own preconditions and relations between Armenia and Azerbaijan.  According to his forecasts, no prospects are visible today for  getting out of the tangle of new contradictions created by the  results of the 44-day war not only for Armenia and Azerbaijan, but  also for Turkey and Russia.

Returning, in this light, to the role of Russia, Ghukasyan  highlighted the absence of an international mandate for the  deployment of the Russian peacekeeping contingent in Artsakh as an  important element of the current geopolitical games around Artsakh.  Without which, the Russian military in Artsakh do not have the status  they need, and which the United States and France are actively  contributing to. "It is clear that Aliyev is refusing a mandate from  Russia, but he does so under pressure from the West, before which,  despite all his bravado, he is still extremely vulnerable. As a  result, any OSCE state at any time may demand that Russia withdraw  its troops from Artsakh, "he stressed.

"In general, all the latest processes and calls from Washington,  Paris and Moscow indicate a tendency, within which very soon Ilham  Aliyev will have to return to the negotiating table. Including on the  issue of determining the final status of Artsakh. "The pressure will  increase on him as well. And as of today we have all the necessary  preconditions and conditions to do that," the political scientist  concluded.