Arminfo.info


 Tuesday, August 10 2021 13:33
David Stepanyan

Forecast: Turkey will not succeed in ousting Russia from the South  Caucasus in the foreseeable future

Forecast: Turkey will not succeed in ousting Russia from the South  Caucasus in the foreseeable future

ArmInfo.Yerevan needs to do everything possible in the direction of countering the  Turkish-Azerbaijani idea of creating the so-called. "Zangezur  Corridor". Acting Director of Institute of Oriental Studies, Armenian  National Academy of Sciences of Armenia, Academician Ruben Safrastyan  expressed a similar opinion to ArmInfo.

"It is necessary to make maximum efforts in this direction, involving  in this process not only Moscow, but also other allies of Armenia,  countries that are aware of the prospect of geopolitical changes in  our region as a result of the activation of this corridor. This  project is part of Ankara's pan-Turkist programs and has military  significance for it", he stressed.

Ankara and Baku, according to the academician, in turn, are still  determined to break through a corridor through the territory of the  Syunik region of Armenia and for this purpose they continue to  increase the pressure policy towards Yerevan. Turkish President  Erdogan's appeals to Armenia to "develop regional cooperation"  sounded the other day at the Security Council meeting are considered  by the Turkologist in this context.

Safrastyan views Erdogan's calls as a natural continuation of the  policy of pressure and threats of Ankara and Baku towards Yerevan.  And, according to his forecasts, over time this pressure will only  grow, especially considering that it has not only a rhetorical, but  also a completely practical nature in the form of periodic military  exercises on the Turkish-Armenian border, the invasion of the  Azerbaijani Armed Forces into the territory of Armenia, shelling ,  provocations, etc.

According to Safrastyan's forecasts, having penetrated the region as  a result of its own participation in the 44-day aggression of  Azerbaijan against Artsakh and Armenia, today Turkey prioritizes the  further spread of its own influence over the entire region. And it is  trying to implement its policy by using its "3 + 3" initiative.

"Along with the attempts to involve Georgia in its own plans, all  this gives Turkey's regional policy a sufficient degree of  seriousness. As for the number one goal in Ankara's policy in the  South Caucasus, it remains unchanged - this is weakening Russia's  influence, if possible, with the prospect of its final ousting from  our region. However, according to my forecasts, this goal is  unattainable for Turkey in the foreseeable future,"the academician  summed up. 

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