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 Tuesday, August 3 2021 16:09
David Stepanyan

Forecast: It is impossible to resolve Armenia`s problems with "one  nation, two states" without revising relations with Russia

Forecast: It is impossible to resolve Armenia`s problems with "one  nation, two states" without revising relations with Russia

ArmInfo.The current policy, tactics and strategy of Baku are not at all limited to the task of obtaining a strategically important corridor through the territory of  Armenia.  Expert on national security issues, Doctor of Political  Sciences Hrachya Arzumanyan expressed a similar opinion to ArmInfo.

"The goal is to neutralize, it is quite also possible to destroy  Armenia as a state, as a political factor.  Remove the Armenian issue  from the agenda and prevent it from being formulated in the future.  And the enemy speaks about all this quite openly, but for some reason  we do not want to admit it. So giving them a corridor, we will not  find peace at all. The war will continue in other ways, on different  platforms and in other forms. New problems will appear, which will  end only with the renunciation of statehood by the Armenian people,  "he stressed.

Nevertheless, according to the expert's estimates, even today, the  whole seriousness of the problems and threats, the existence of which  the country has already faced is not perceived in Armenia. In this  light, Arzumanyan is convinced that the defeat in the 44-day war was  a natural consequence of the lack of understanding in Armenia, the  ability to calculate the goals and intentions of the enemy. In his  opinion, the loss was the result of a lack of understanding that the  war is not waged with Azerbaijan, but with Turkey, whose partner in  this war is Armenia's strategic ally Russia.

In this light, the expert sees nothing new in the current Azerbaijani  aggressiveness towards Armenian villages and defensive lines, in the  shelling of the Armenian borders. First of all, due to the fact that  Azerbaijan continues the hybrid war against Armenia. According to  him, as a result, today Baku, Ankara and Moscow are forcing Yerevan  to discuss the demarcation and delimitation of borders, a problem  that has absolutely nothing to do with reality. According to  Arzumanyan, it is at least incorrect to discuss border demarcation in  the context of ongoing hostilities.

According to the expert's forecasts, in any case, Baku, Ankara and  Moscow will continue this strategy, especially considering that, by  and large, Armenia today is no longer opposed to Azerbaijan, but de  facto, Turkey which has absorbed the latter. In his opinion, it is  also necessary to understand the impossibility of solving the  Armenia's problems with "one nation, two states" without  reformatting and revising relations with Russia. In this case, the  revision of the role of Russia in the region, the need for its  military presence in Armenia, determination of its conditions, etc.   In other words, continuing to move forward within the framework of  the logic of decisions made in the past, which brought the Armenian  people to the disaster in Artsakh, in his opinion it is impossible to  come up with a solution to the problem.

"Solutions can be found only by stopping, reviewing, analyzing what  happened, realizing and formulating the tasks of Armenia in the 21st  century, realizing whether you need allies and only after that  starting to search for them. For 30 years we have been told about the  need to remain loyal to Russia. Did our loyalty help us? 30-year-old  solutions don't work. Accordingly, it is necessary to search for new  solutions that can bring new opportunities. There will be risks  always and everywhere, but by continuing to wallow in the swamp, you  will never be guaranteed another blow. And in order to gain new  allies, it is first necessary to decide where we are now, and where  we are going and why "summed up Arzumanyan. 


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