Arminfo.info




 Tuesday, July 27 2021 11:43
David Stepanyan

Forecast: Moscow will not be able to keep the situation in a state of controlled uncertainty indefinitely

Forecast: Moscow will not be able to keep the situation in a state of controlled uncertainty indefinitely

ArmInfo.After documenting the results of the 44-day war, during the entire post-war period, Moscow played a double game within the framework of the OSCE Minsk Group.   Ruben Mehrabyan - expert at the Armenian Institute of International  and Security Affairs (AIISA) expressed a similar opinion to ArmInfo.

"In other words, Russia has acted and is acting within the framework  of the MG, but, at the same time, it tries to bypass it at the first  available opportunity. And, no doubt, it will continue to operate  within the framework of this logic in the future. Meanwhile, it is in  this format, and no other, that the other two co- chairing countries  unequivocally emphasize the need to continue the negotiation process  to achieve a resolution of the issue of Artsakh's status, "he  stressed.

Another diplomatic variation performed by Moscow, the expert  considers periodic attempts to expropriate ideas and agreements  within the framework of the Minsk Group in order to implement them on  its own platforms. Among such steps by Moscow, Mehrabyan voiced the  organization of a meeting between the leadrers of Armenia and  Azerbaijan in St. Petersburg,  and this is when co-chairs had already  organized a similar meeting, with same composition and content in  Vienna.

The expert emphasized that Russia had no interest in achieving a  final, comprehensive settlement of the conflict around Artsakh, even  if it is discussed on its own platform within the framework of its  own agenda.  First of all, because of the understanding and clear  awareness of their own withdrawal from the region in the event of a  final settlement of the conflict.

"So, Moscow clearly sees all these prospects, respectively, they are  aware of the possible consequences.  And as a result, they continue  to implement the political line of the last decades. But we must do  everything possible in order to create realities, create  circumstances that will force Russia to find itself face to face with  a new geopolitical reality. The whole issue today rests on this need,  since this is what the national interests of Armenia require, "he  stressed.  

According to Mehrabyan's forecasts, in any case, Moscow  will not be able to keep the situation in a state of controlled  uncertainty indefinitely. Accordingly, sooner or later it will have  to its own priorities in one direction or another. And the fact that  Russia has already crossed all possible and impossible red lines in  the region, primarily in relations with Armenia, according to his  forecasts, only underlines the inevitability of such a scenario.

"What does Russia offer us today? Leave the issue of status in limbo  for an indefinite future. It does not want to solve it, offering in  return to do anything but determine the status. As a result, our  prisoners of war are still in Azerbaijan, the roads are not open, and  Aliyev encroaches on Armenian territory by shooting in Yeraskh. And  we see that in response Russia prefers either to remain silent or to  talk about "border incidents" caused by the absence of delimitation.  We understand that all this cannot and will not last long, "  Mehrabyan summed up.


News
Mirzoyan and Borrell discussed the situation in the zone of the  Karabakh conflictMirzoyan and Borrell discussed the situation in the zone of the  Karabakh conflict
Pashinyan dismissed head of protocol department of Prime Minister`s  officePashinyan dismissed head of protocol department of Prime Minister`s  office
Number of coronavirus cases exceeded 1000 in 24 hours in ArmeniaNumber of coronavirus cases exceeded 1000 in 24 hours in Armenia
First post-war meeting of Foreign Ministers of Armenia and Azerbaijan  under auspices of OSCE Minsk Group took place in New YorkFirst post-war meeting of Foreign Ministers of Armenia and Azerbaijan  under auspices of OSCE Minsk Group took place in New York
Garibashvili: We propose the Peaceful Neighborhood Initiative to  promote stability in the South CaucasusGaribashvili: We propose the Peaceful Neighborhood Initiative to  promote stability in the South Caucasus
Nikol Pashinyan at UN Session: Today, no Armenian lives or  practically could live in the territories under the control of  AzerbaijanNikol Pashinyan at UN Session: Today, no Armenian lives or  practically could live in the territories under the control of  Azerbaijan
A ceremony of presenting passports to persons who were granted the citizenship of Turkmenistan was held.A ceremony of presenting passports to persons who were granted the citizenship of Turkmenistan was held.
RA Prime Minister: RA Prime Minister: "No complications worthy of mention" were recorded  among vaccinated about 385 thousand citizens 
Deputy Head of Environmental Protection and Inspection Mining Body  dismissedDeputy Head of Environmental Protection and Inspection Mining Body  dismissed
Ombudsman of Armenia told the former US Ambassador to Armenia about  the atrocities of Azerbaijanis in the border territoriesOmbudsman of Armenia told the former US Ambassador to Armenia about  the atrocities of Azerbaijanis in the border territories
Politician: The lack of systemic reforms in Armenia is the result of  the absence of differences between the previous and current  authoritiesPolitician: The lack of systemic reforms in Armenia is the result of  the absence of differences between the previous and current  authorities
Armen Grigoryan: High-level dialogue is one of the possibilities for  the settlement of Armenian-Turkish relationsArmen Grigoryan: High-level dialogue is one of the possibilities for  the settlement of Armenian-Turkish relations
Armenian FM briefs Jordanian counterpart on provocative actions by  Azerbaijan against Armenia`s sovereign territoryArmenian FM briefs Jordanian counterpart on provocative actions by  Azerbaijan against Armenia`s sovereign territory
Foreign Ministers of Armenia and Iran discussed ways to overcome  situation on Goris-Kapan roadForeign Ministers of Armenia and Iran discussed ways to overcome  situation on Goris-Kapan road
RA Defense Minister and head of ICRC Yerevan office emphasized  importance of early repatriation of captives of 44-day war RA Defense Minister and head of ICRC Yerevan office emphasized  importance of early repatriation of captives of 44-day war 
Forecast: No breakthrough agreements should be expected from the  Putin-Erdogan meetingForecast: No breakthrough agreements should be expected from the  Putin-Erdogan meeting
Aliyev continues his attempts to get transport corridor through  Syunik by putting pressure on Armenia Aliyev continues his attempts to get transport corridor through  Syunik by putting pressure on Armenia 
906 coronavirus cases confirmed in Armenia in 24 hours906 coronavirus cases confirmed in Armenia in 24 hours
Ararat Mirzoyan met with  UN High Commissioner for Refugees Filippo  GrandiArarat Mirzoyan met with  UN High Commissioner for Refugees Filippo  Grandi
Ararat Mirzoyan called on Alliance for Multilateralism to increase  pressure on Azerbaijan to ensure rights of people of Nagorno-KarabakhArarat Mirzoyan called on Alliance for Multilateralism to increase  pressure on Azerbaijan to ensure rights of people of Nagorno-Karabakh
Erdogan: Turkey expects to soon build a road from Igdir to AzerbaijanErdogan: Turkey expects to soon build a road from Igdir to Azerbaijan
Foreign Ministers of Armenia and Cyprus discussed prospects for  deepening cooperation in bilateral, trilateral and multilateral  formatsForeign Ministers of Armenia and Cyprus discussed prospects for  deepening cooperation in bilateral, trilateral and multilateral  formats
Foreign Ministers of Russia and France expressed a mutual commitment  to further work to stabilize situation in Nagorno-KarabakhForeign Ministers of Russia and France expressed a mutual commitment  to further work to stabilize situation in Nagorno-Karabakh
Affordable mortgage and more. Converse Bank is the partner of Build ArmeniaAffordable mortgage and more. Converse Bank is the partner of Build Armenia
Ararat Mirzoyan: To establish regional stability, it is important to  get rid of anti-Armenian rhetoric and to carry out unconditional  repatriation of prisoners of warArarat Mirzoyan: To establish regional stability, it is important to  get rid of anti-Armenian rhetoric and to carry out unconditional  repatriation of prisoners of war
RA Foreign Minister stressed need to ensure unimpeded entry of  international organizations, in particular, competent authorities of  the Council of Europe, to ArtsakhRA Foreign Minister stressed need to ensure unimpeded entry of  international organizations, in particular, competent authorities of  the Council of Europe, to Artsakh
Pashinyan instructed interested bodies to ensure implementation of  order of Ministry Health Pashinyan instructed interested bodies to ensure implementation of  order of Ministry Health 
Armenia will take part in Moscow International Book FairArmenia will take part in Moscow International Book Fair
Meeting of Prosecutors General of Armenia, Azerbaijan and Russia held  in Nur-Sultan Meeting of Prosecutors General of Armenia, Azerbaijan and Russia held  in Nur-Sultan 
Russian Russian "Metrogiprotrans" company to design new metro station in  Yerevan
Turkologist: Turkey seeks to mislead the world about its true  intentions by rhetoric towards ArmeniaTurkologist: Turkey seeks to mislead the world about its true  intentions by rhetoric towards Armenia
Forecast: There will be no breakthrough warming of relations between  Yerevan and Ankara.Forecast: There will be no breakthrough warming of relations between  Yerevan and Ankara.
New Catholicos-Patriarch of House of Cilician electedNew Catholicos-Patriarch of House of Cilician elected
OSCE Chairperson-in-Office and Azerbaijani Foreign Minister discussed  implementation of statements on Nagorno-KarabakhOSCE Chairperson-in-Office and Azerbaijani Foreign Minister discussed  implementation of statements on Nagorno-Karabakh
President of Turkmenistan  made a speech at the  76th session of the United Nations General Assembly.President of Turkmenistan made a speech at the 76th session of the United Nations General Assembly.
Ibrahim Kalyn and Jake Sullivan discussed situation in South Caucasus  after war in Nagorno-KarabakhIbrahim Kalyn and Jake Sullivan discussed situation in South Caucasus  after war in Nagorno-Karabakh
Iranian contemporary films will be screened in YerevanIranian contemporary films will be screened in Yerevan
Head of the State Revenue Office of Armenia met with the Director of  the Anti-Narcotics and Law Enforcement Cooperation Program of the  U.S. Embassy in ArmeniaHead of the State Revenue Office of Armenia met with the Director of  the Anti-Narcotics and Law Enforcement Cooperation Program of the  U.S. Embassy in Armenia
U.S. House Set to Vote on Measure Demanding Baku Release of Armenian  POWs; requiring investigation into Azerbaijani War CrimesU.S. House Set to Vote on Measure Demanding Baku Release of Armenian  POWs; requiring investigation into Azerbaijani War Crimes
Foreign Ministers of Armenia and France discussed the prospects for  the settlement of the Karabakh conflictForeign Ministers of Armenia and France discussed the prospects for  the settlement of the Karabakh conflict
Over 900 coronavirus cases confirmed in Armenia in 24 hoursOver 900 coronavirus cases confirmed in Armenia in 24 hours
At a meeting with a colleague from Serbia, Armenia`s FM pointed out  the imperativeness of the repatriation of Armenian prisoners of war  from AzerbaijanAt a meeting with a colleague from Serbia, Armenia`s FM pointed out  the imperativeness of the repatriation of Armenian prisoners of war  from Azerbaijan
Foreign Ministers of Armenia and Greece discussed the situation in  the South CaucasusForeign Ministers of Armenia and Greece discussed the situation in  the South Caucasus
Arman Tatoyan highly appreciated the new unique experience of the  transparent work of his Russian colleague during the elections to the  State Duma of RussiaArman Tatoyan highly appreciated the new unique experience of the  transparent work of his Russian colleague during the elections to the  State Duma of Russia
Foreign Ministers of Armenia and Slovenia discuss regional and  international issuesForeign Ministers of Armenia and Slovenia discuss regional and  international issues
Armenian Foreign Minister highly appreciated the position of Austria  on the peaceful settlement of the Karabakh conflict within the  framework of the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairmanshipArmenian Foreign Minister highly appreciated the position of Austria  on the peaceful settlement of the Karabakh conflict within the  framework of the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairmanship
Deputy Foreign Minister of the Russia: We continue to view the Minsk  Group as an important tool for advancing along the path of the peace  processDeputy Foreign Minister of the Russia: We continue to view the Minsk  Group as an important tool for advancing along the path of the peace  process
The US Department of State is exploring the possibility of  de-escalating the situation between Yerevan and Baku with the support  of other OSCE MG countries and TurkeyThe US Department of State is exploring the possibility of  de-escalating the situation between Yerevan and Baku with the support  of other OSCE MG countries and Turkey
The best vacation destinations in the autumn of 2021The best vacation destinations in the autumn of 2021
Armenia worsened its position in the Armenia worsened its position in the "Internet Freedom" rating by  Freedom House
 Red Wings Airlines launches flights from Krasnodar, Rostov-on-Don and  Samara to Yerevan Red Wings Airlines launches flights from Krasnodar, Rostov-on-Don and  Samara to Yerevan
Iranian Ambassador expressed concern about problems that have arisen  in connection with use of infrastructures connecting Iran with  ArmeniaIranian Ambassador expressed concern about problems that have arisen  in connection with use of infrastructures connecting Iran with  Armenia
Representatives of Assyrian community declare that law Representatives of Assyrian community declare that law "On the  administrative-territorial division of the RA" ignores interests of  national minorities 
Garibashvili told Erdogan about Georgia`s readiness to carry out a  peacekeeping function to ensure long- term peace in the CaucasusGaribashvili told Erdogan about Georgia`s readiness to carry out a  peacekeeping function to ensure long- term peace in the Caucasus
 Iranist: Aliyev`s Vorotan impudence pursues several goals Iranist: Aliyev`s Vorotan impudence pursues several goals
Forecast: Moscow will take substantive steps in the South Caucasus  after the electionsForecast: Moscow will take substantive steps in the South Caucasus  after the elections
Government defends its position on community enlargement in  parliamentary hearingsGovernment defends its position on community enlargement in  parliamentary hearings
11072 patients with COVID-19 are currently undergoing treatment11072 patients with COVID-19 are currently undergoing treatment
Armenia to host Armenia to host "Thunder-2021" training of special forces of  anti-drug departments of CSTO states
European Heritage Days to be held in ArmeniaEuropean Heritage Days to be held in Armenia
Read more



Commented