Analyst: It is still impossible to finally consolidate the balance  between Russia and Turkey without Pashinyan

ArmInfo. As of today, the intensification of attempts to actively involve the collective West: the US, now the EU in the situation around Armenia in order to bring  it to a balance is already more than obvious. Independent analyst  Saro Saroyan expressed such an opinion to ArmInfo.

"It should be understood that the current balance in the South  Caucasus is determined exclusively by Russia and Turkey. Accordingly,  this bilateral balance in the geopolitical dimension, in the  geopolitical projection, is a manifestation of an imbalance. For the  second time over the past 100 years, Moscow and Ankara are trying to  impose their balance on other geopolitical players, to impose it on  the whole world, "he stressed.

However, the situation, according to the analyst, is far from being  settled and reaching the stage of final formation and consolidation.  In particular, the US-led collective West is against such a balance.  In his opinion, Tehran is also interested in upset, the final  destruction of the Russian-Turkish balance - a geopolitical  imbalance.

According to Saroyan, the presence of such sentiments in the field of  international relations, creates opportunities for Armenia to form  and go out on its own path and implement its own vision of the  geopolitical situation. And here the whole question, in his opinion,  consists in the presence or absence of Yerevan's ability to consider  the problem from this particular angle.

"This is nothing less than the formation of the desire, respectively,  the ability of Yerevan to fill the vacuum that arose after the 44-day  war in ensuring Armenia's security with alternative security  components. It is important to emphasize that here we are talking  about the collective West as well as Iran and India.  Unfortunately,  the recent meeting of Pashinyan with Putin once again demonstrated  that Armenia is really being forced to agree to the decisions  outlined by Moscow and Ankara, "he stressed.

The latter, in the analyst's opinion, leaves Pashinyan with two  possible paths. The first is to serve the line formed in Moscow,  which will end up personally for him being recognized not only as one  of the main culprits of the consequences of last year's war, but also  the absolute one, the only culprit and responsible for violating the  state interests of Armenia to please the Russian-Turkish balance. And  here Pashinyan, in Saroyan's opinion, will no longer be helped by  even the regained legitimacy.

"It is still impossible to finally seal, consolidate the balance  between Russia and Turkey without Armenia, without Pashinyan. Given  the clear line by Armenia aimed at filling the gaps in ensuring its  own security, this will become impossible. Pashinyan is well aware  that time does not wait, that Moscow requires him to take immediate  action. And, in the end, he is quite capable of carrying out these  actions with all possible slowdowns, so that this would allow him to  personally get out of the current situation. I think that he has the  opportunity to stall for time. Another question is whether he will  use this opportunity, " summed up the analyst.