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 Wednesday, July 7 2021 16:34

Analyst: In the south of Russia, Turkey takes over the transformation  of the Turkic Council into an operating platform for NATO

Analyst: In the south of Russia, Turkey takes over the transformation  of the Turkic Council into an operating platform for NATO

ArmInfo. If on the western borders of the Russian Federation a cordon sanitaire and the Intermarium project of the 21st century (Visegrad Four) are being developed, then in the south, Turkey takes over the transformation of the Turkic Council into an  operating platform for NATO. Hrachya Arzumanyan, a well-known  political scientist, the director of the "Ashkhar" Center for  Strategic Studies, the former adviser to Artsakh Foreign Minister,  expressed this opinion on his Facebook page. 

According to him, this makes it possible to project the power of the  West into Central Asia and the territory of the Russian Federation in  order to restrain China. In general, in his opinion, this is a very  logical strategy of the West / NATO.

Arzumanyan stressed that the last Russian point, that could impede  the implementation of such a strategy was Armenia, which broke the  arc in the Caucasus, but after Russia gave Artsakh to Turkey and  "instantly" received the "Shusha" Declaration and the exercises  already on its border, it lost all its leverages.  And all they can  do is to puff out their cheeks, like "we are closely monitoring the  situation", and urgently summon Nikol Pashinyan to Moscow.

But from a strategic point of view, the analyst is convinced, the  game has already been played, and the West has won, and all without a  direct military presence. they solved the problem with the help of  the President of the Russian Federation, supported by the Turkish  armed forces.

However, at the same time, the statement of the Russian Federation  that the relationship with Turkey as a NATO country can be considered  an example of the possibility of cooperation with the alliance cannot  be commented on. The West will further form a military-political  alliance between Turkey, Azerbaijan and the Central Asian states,  allowing NATO to operate in the Caucasus and Central Asia through the  direct military presence of Turkey. According to Arzumanyan, the  "Afghan avalanche", including refugees, will be carefully sent to  Central Asia and the vastness of the Russian Federation, and there is  nothing to stop it.  Pakistan has already said it will close its  borders to refugees if the Taliban take over in Afghanistan.  Perhaps  China can fill the security vacuum and has already announced its  intention to do so. But within the framework of the new US strategy  for Central Asia, this region also includes Afghanistan. It turns out  - a clash of Chinese and American / Western geostrategy and the Great  Game of the 21st century around the assets of the USSR, but without  the participation of the Russian Federation.

However, for Armenia and Georgia in this case, what is relevant is  the role the West envisages for these countries. There can be two  scenarios: either joining NATO under the patronage of Turkey through  the creation of a platform [5 + 3] (five post-Soviet states of  Central Asia + three states of the South Caucasus), which has already  been announced in Turkey, or, nevertheless, direct subordination  without <mediation > of Turkey? According to the analyst, these are  important topics that require deep development.  

Meanwhile, in his commentary, the head of the Pro-European Party of  Armenia, Tigran Khzmalyan, expressed his absolute disagreement with  Arzumanyan with his assessment of Turkey's role as the `` Western  patron '' of Armenia and Georgia. <In my opinion, the West is  ''framing'' Erdogan by handing him such a bomb with an explosive  mechanism as Afghanistan and the Turkic countries of Central Asia.  Thus, Turkey is opposed to China, with easily calculated consequences  for Turkey. Moreover, the West will not help Erdogan. Armenia and  Georgia will enter NATO without any demand from Turkey, just by the  North- South logic, which Turkey and Russia cannot interfere with  their unfulfilled corridor through Meghri, " Khzmalyan notes. 

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