Arminfo.info


 Wednesday, June 16 2021 13:42
David Stepanyan

Georgian political scientist: We must move forward in a direction  beneficial for us, not for the United States, Russia or Turkey

Georgian political scientist: We must move forward in a direction  beneficial for us, not for the United States, Russia or Turkey

ArmInfo. Joe Biden administration's slogan "America is back" may have a practical  meaning in the South Caucasus as well, and we will face opposition  from Moscow, which does not intend to part with its own monopoly on  resolving all issues in our region practically alone.  

However, in any case, both Armenia and Georgia should proceed in their actions  solely from their own national interests. We must move forward in a  direction that is beneficial for us, and for the United States,  Russia or Turkey. A similar opinion was expressed to ArmInfo by the  head of regional programs of the Georgian Strategic Analysis Center  (GSAC) Gela Vasadze.

According to Vasadze's estimates, this should be done in small but  consistent steps. First of all, in the direction of building a solid  security structure, on which it will already be possible to build a  lasting peace in the region. The path, in his opinion, is a long one,  and in order to successfully pass it, the political will of the  leaderships of the countries is necessary in order to overcome the  opposition of the opponents of the establishment of this very peace,  both external and internal ones. Vasadze considers such a path  extremely difficult, but quite possible.

In this light, the Georgian political scientist sees the need for  small, but quite concrete steps towards the formation of the  structure of regional relations in the format of the three South  Caucasian countries. In Vasadze's opinion, such a scenario sounds  extremely optimistic, however, if the leaders of the three countries  have a desire to significantly improve the living standards of their  own citizens, it is such a structure that will be the best catalyst  for the growth of the well-being of the entire region.

In Vasadze's opinion, background, but extremely important factor is  the presence in the South Caucasus of two competing regional projects  of two strategic opponents - Russia and Turkey. This can be explained  by Moscow's awareness of the importance of restoring its influence  within the borders of the former USSR as the only serious trump card  for its positioning in the modern world over the United States,  Europe and China. Without this influence, Russia, according to the  political scientist, is of no interest to anyone. And realizing all  this perfectly, it acts in the same South Caucasus in the appropriate  way.  For Turkey, in turn, successful integration with the countries  of the region, in Vasadze's opinion, opens up the prospect of  entering the Turkic states of Central Asia with the spread of its  influence to Chinese Xinjiang. And for obvious reasons, this project,  according to his forecasts, will inevitably face tough opposition  from China and, of course, Moscow. Therefore, it is possible that  this project will be supported by the United States and the European  Union.  "And I don't think that today it is worth counting on the  fact that today's Turkey does not have the resources to implement  such grandiose geopolitical projects. Recep Erdogan plays in the long  term.

Accordingly, as soon as his project, which today is in its infancy,  acquires real outlines, resources will inevitably appear. It is  important to emphasize that in this case it will not matter at all  who will be in power in Turkey Erdogan or his political competitors.   The main thing is that such a development path is dictated by the  logic of Turkey's development as a regional power" , summed up  Vasadze.

POST A COMMENT
Input digits     

News
Artur Sargsyan arrested for 2 monthsArtur Sargsyan arrested for 2 months
ARF members, Russian State Duma representatives discuss regional security issuesARF members, Russian State Duma representatives discuss regional security issues
RA Prime Minister arrives in UAE on working visitRA Prime Minister arrives in UAE on working visit
RA MFA: There can be no agreement on  RA MFA: There can be no agreement on  "Zangezur corridor"
Zakharova comments on information about Azerbaijan selling weapons to UkraineZakharova comments on information about Azerbaijan selling weapons to Ukraine
Oppositionist: It is necessary to integrate Artsakh residents in Armenia in order to move away from the principle of Oppositionist: It is necessary to integrate Artsakh residents in Armenia in order to move away from the principle of "no man, no problem"
Starting January 1, citizenship  services for both obtaining and terminating citizenship will be digitized- MIAStarting January 1, citizenship  services for both obtaining and terminating citizenship will be digitized- MIA
A decision to arrest a member of the National Assembly to be made within the next  2-3 hours - lawyerA decision to arrest a member of the National Assembly to be made within the next  2-3 hours - lawyer
Armenia, Iran  Defense Ministers discuss regional security issuesArmenia, Iran  Defense Ministers discuss regional security issues
Prosperous Armenia Party  leader  interrogated by  Anti-Corruption CommitteeProsperous Armenia Party  leader  interrogated by  Anti-Corruption Committee
Oppositionist: Pashinyan  repressing the opposition to show Aliyev and Erdogan his loyalty to the agreements made with them Oppositionist: Pashinyan  repressing the opposition to show Aliyev and Erdogan his loyalty to the agreements made with them 
AAC followers from all over the world form Pan-Armenian Council for  the Protection of the Armenian ChurchAAC followers from all over the world form Pan-Armenian Council for  the Protection of the Armenian Church
Armenia, Greece discuss recent developments in  South CaucasusArmenia, Greece discuss recent developments in  South Caucasus
Zakharova: Armenian side was offered concrete steps on  stop listsZakharova: Armenian side was offered concrete steps on  stop lists
Briefing on Swiss Peace Initiative for Artsakh  in US CongressBriefing on Swiss Peace Initiative for Artsakh  in US Congress
Lawyer: Nowadays, any political process in Armenia is accompanied by  interference from the state apparatusLawyer: Nowadays, any political process in Armenia is accompanied by  interference from the state apparatus
Armenia to tighten criminal liability for attacks on doctorsArmenia to tighten criminal liability for attacks on doctors
Armenia`s Deputy FM, UN official exchange views on UN80 initiativeArmenia`s Deputy FM, UN official exchange views on UN80 initiative
Court discussing MP`s arrestCourt discussing MP`s arrest
Armenian premier, Azerbaijani president to meet in Abu Dhabi Armenian premier, Azerbaijani president to meet in Abu Dhabi 
Civil Contract party board meeting take place Civil Contract party board meeting take place 
Judge`s decision on Samvel Karapetyan case one more incitement to legal absurdity - lawyer Judge`s decision on Samvel Karapetyan case one more incitement to legal absurdity - lawyer 
U.S. Sec of State mentioned Armenian-Azerbaijani normalization `for a  reason` - Tammy BruceU.S. Sec of State mentioned Armenian-Azerbaijani normalization `for a  reason` - Tammy Bruce
Azerbaijan`s government plan to take control of Armenia under  humanitarian disguise being executed - Arman Tatoyan Azerbaijan`s government plan to take control of Armenia under  humanitarian disguise being executed - Arman Tatoyan 
Expecting 2026 elections amid promises given to external forces  extremely risky - opposition MPExpecting 2026 elections amid promises given to external forces  extremely risky - opposition MP
Tashir Pizza allowed to resume operation in Abovyan Tashir Pizza allowed to resume operation in Abovyan 
Armenian premier sends congratulatory message to president of Argentina Armenian premier sends congratulatory message to president of Argentina 
Law-enforcers confiscate large batch of drugs Law-enforcers confiscate large batch of drugs 
Aliyev regime continues destroying Artsakh Armenians` property in Stepanakert Aliyev regime continues destroying Artsakh Armenians` property in Stepanakert 
Situation surrounding ENA has political implication - Tashir Situation surrounding ENA has political implication - Tashir 
Armenia`s authorities seeking to neutralize all rivals and form  atmosphere of fear - expert Armenia`s authorities seeking to neutralize all rivals and form  atmosphere of fear - expert 
Armenian authorities prove quality of all before unlawfulness -  Larisa Alaverdyan Armenian authorities prove quality of all before unlawfulness -  Larisa Alaverdyan 
Forest fire prevention discussed at RA Ministry of Interior Forest fire prevention discussed at RA Ministry of Interior 
Washington hopes for peace deal between Armenia, Azerbaijan soon Washington hopes for peace deal between Armenia, Azerbaijan soon 
Aram I calls for putting end to destructive atmosphere in Armenia Aram I calls for putting end to destructive atmosphere in Armenia 
Artur Sargsyan stripped of his parliamentary immunityArtur Sargsyan stripped of his parliamentary immunity
Political scientist: Pashinyan`s government acknowledges that it is  impossible to simultaneously oppose two non-agreement-capable  opposition centersPolitical scientist: Pashinyan`s government acknowledges that it is  impossible to simultaneously oppose two non-agreement-capable  opposition centers
World Council of Churches expresses deep concern regarding recent  developments involving the Armenian Apostolic ChurchWorld Council of Churches expresses deep concern regarding recent  developments involving the Armenian Apostolic Church
Armenian Deputy FM participates in the Special Session of the  Assembly of States Parties to the Rome Statute on the Review of the  Draft Amendments on the Crime of AggressionArmenian Deputy FM participates in the Special Session of the  Assembly of States Parties to the Rome Statute on the Review of the  Draft Amendments on the Crime of Aggression
Armenian Ombudsperson signals a violation of lawyers` right to access  their clients in the preliminary investigation bodyArmenian Ombudsperson signals a violation of lawyers` right to access  their clients in the preliminary investigation body
 RA Prime Minister visits Kotayk branch of  SOS Children`s Villages RA Prime Minister visits Kotayk branch of SOS Children`s Villages
Jerusalem`s Armenian Quarter  most targeted by anti- Christian  incidents in Israel - ReportJerusalem`s Armenian Quarter  most targeted by anti- Christian  incidents in Israel - Report
Narek Karapetyan: Authorities want to start a pre-planned process  against Tashir GroupNarek Karapetyan: Authorities want to start a pre-planned process  against Tashir Group
Armenia officially joins UN Countering Terrorism Travel Program Armenia officially joins UN Countering Terrorism Travel Program 
Vice Speaker: The government must respond to threats, otherwise it  will lead to chaosVice Speaker: The government must respond to threats, otherwise it  will lead to chaos
No detainees from among ENA staff members - acting CEONo detainees from among ENA staff members - acting CEO
War in Armenia - politician War in Armenia - politician 
Armenian law-enfrocers publicly ordered to attack AAC - lawyerArmenian law-enfrocers publicly ordered to attack AAC - lawyer
Swiss MPs to present peace initiative on return to Artsakh in  Washington Swiss MPs to present peace initiative on return to Artsakh in  Washington 
RA Human Rights Defender condemns squabble in NA RA Human Rights Defender condemns squabble in NA 
Russian-Armenian businessman files slander claims against Armenian  premier, deputy head of RA premier`s staff Russian-Armenian businessman files slander claims against Armenian  premier, deputy head of RA premier`s staff 
Everyone expected this - Narek Karapetyan Everyone expected this - Narek Karapetyan 
Armenia`s Investigative Committee investigating major embezzlement  cases Armenia`s Investigative Committee investigating major embezzlement  cases 
ENA Board chairman brought to ENA head office ENA Board chairman brought to ENA head office 
Tensions in Armenia`s parliamentTensions in Armenia`s parliament
AraratBank participated in the WEPs regional experience-sharing workshopAraratBank participated in the WEPs regional experience-sharing workshop
Ruling force`s action illegal - Arman TatoyanRuling force`s action illegal - Arman Tatoyan
Law enforcement officers do not explain the reasons for not allowing  ENA employees to their workplacesLaw enforcement officers do not explain the reasons for not allowing  ENA employees to their workplaces
Some Armenian clergymen have nothing in common with Jesus Christ`s  teaching - premierSome Armenian clergymen have nothing in common with Jesus Christ`s  teaching - premier
Law-enforcers raiding home of Russian-Armenian businessman`s nephew Law-enforcers raiding home of Russian-Armenian businessman`s nephew 
Read more



Commented