Thursday, May 27 2021 11:34

ArmInfo.The process of redrawing state borders in the vast territories of Eurasia in the South Caucasus and adjacent regions began as early as during the four-day  war in April 2016. And even today it can be predicted that as a  result of it, not only interstate borders will change, but also new  states may well emerge. A similar opinion was expressed to ArmInfo by  Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary, former Foreign Minister  of the Republic of Artsakh Arman Melikyan. 

"Today we see that this process continues. Moreover, there are all  prospects in favor of extending it over the next decade. I think,  given that these transformations will affect both the nearest and  more distant neighboring countries, in this case it is possible talk  about 10 years as a minimum. It is quite obvious that for different  participants in this process, its duration and intensity can be  completely different, "he is convinced.

According to the diplomat, Armenia has already been affected by these  processes, and with rather deplorable results. In this light, he  predicts the next 5 years for Armenia as critically difficult and  complex.  According to Melikyan's estimates, during this period the  Armenian statehood and the people will need to resolve the issue of  survival on their own territory. In Melikyan's opinion, Armenia is  already at the epicenter of the process of extensive geopolitical  shifts.

And according to his forecasts, for some time the country will be  held hostage to this process, within the framework of which the wave  of violence that began in the Middle East in September 2020 has  reached Armenia. And judging by Israel's desire to finally resolve  the issue of Palestine, in parallel, in the diplomat's opinion,  prerequisites will be created for the destruction of Iran as a  clerical state. As a result, Armenia, according to his forecasts,  will face additional new challenges and threats. 

In turn, the threat of another Turkish-Azerbaijani aggression on the  southern borders of Armenia, according to the diplomat's forecasts,  may well lead to the formation of a completely new military-political  situation in the northern provinces of Iran. According to him, we are  talking about the prospect of centrifugal actions of the local  Turkic-speaking population against the regime in Iran.

"Without a doubt, much in the formation of these prospects will  depend on Russia's steps in the South Caucasus. At the same time, it  is necessary to understand that Moscow can consider options to  retreat and simply leave the South Caucasus. But Tehran is deprived  of such an opportunity. All this is closely related to the degree of  the strength of the Iranian theocratic regime. And if the worst  scenario for the Iranian ruling circles is realized, the question of  Iran's existence not only as an Islamic democracy, but its very  preservation within its current borders as a unitary state, will be  resolved, "the diplomat concluded.  On May 25, a delegation headed by  the Minister of Road Construction and Urban Development of Iran  Mohammad Eslami paid a working visit to Armenia. On May 26, Iranian  Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif arrived in Yerevan. The head of  Iranian diplomacy held meetings with all the top leadership of  Armenia, including acting Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan.