Wednesday, May 26 2021 14:26
David Stepanyan

Political scientist: The goal of Moscow`s real politik is signing by  Yerevan any documents allowing Baku to become a member of the CSTO  and the EAEU

Political scientist: The goal of Moscow`s real politik is signing by  Yerevan any documents allowing Baku to become a member of the CSTO  and the EAEU

ArmInfo. Russia perfectly realizes and sees how dissatisfaction with "Lavrov's plan" is consistently growing in Armenia. It is here that one should look for the origins  of the reasons for the recent statement by the head of the Russian  Foreign Ministry "about the centuries-old friendship of the two  peoples," "the importance of Armenia for Russia," and so on. Head of  the Analytical Center for Globalization and Regional Cooperation  Stepan Grigoryan expressed this opinion to ArmInfo.

"Thus, the head of the Russian Foreign Ministry is trying to assure  us that his plan and even its consequences are in no way directed  against Armenia. The image of Sergei Lavrov is inextricably linked in  Armenia with his plan. And most importantly, with all its  catastrophic consequences for Artsakh and Armenia. And, realizing  this very well, the head of the Russian Foreign Ministry is today  trying to change this perception creating the image of a good friend,  "he stressed.

Nevertheless, the political scientist assesses Lavrov's statements  about friendship, alliance, etc. as secondary. Especially against the  background of the statements of his deputy Andrei Rudenko, which  sounded almost in parallel and reflected the Russian real politik.  According to Grigoryan, declaring that the CSTO doors are open for  Azerbaijan, Lavrov's deputy demonstrated the essence of Moscow's real  policy, the purpose of which is to achieve signing of any documents  by Yerevan that would drag Baku into the CSTO and the EAEU.

Against this background, Moscow's lack of reaction to Azerbaijan's  violation of the territorial integrity of its ally Armenia, to the  invasion of the Azerbaijani army, according to Grigoryan, means that  Russia considers Sev Lich to be a part of Azerbaijan. Moreover,  according to his estimates, by keeping its military on the territory  of Armenia, keeping the Armenian prisoners on its territory, Baku  focuses the attention of Yerevan on these problems. In return, it  tries to resolve the issue of Artsakh's status as imperceptibly as  possible.

And here, according to Grigoryan, we come to the most important  thing. In his words, in parallel to all these processes, Baku, in  turn, convinces Moscow to prevent the return of the Artsakh problem  to the negotiating table of the OSCE Minsk Group. Persuades to  prevent its appearing in the UN Security Council. And of course, to  force, to make Armenia agree to the demarcation and delimitation of  borders.

Meanwhile, taking into account all of the above, the demarcation and  delimitation, the establishment of diplomatic relations between  Yerevan and Baku, according to his forecasts, will inevitably mean  that Artsakh will become a part of Azerbaijan. Thus, in his opinion,  the issue of Artsakh, the issue of its status is being resolved  today. 

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