ArmInfo.The current situation in the conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan is part of a kind of historical test for the viability of the post-Soviet countries. A similar opinion was expressed to ArmInfo by Fyodor Lukyanov, editor-in-chief of the Russia in Global Affairs magazine, Chairman of the Presidium of the Council for Foreign and Defense Policy of the Russian Federation.
"In addition to Armenia and Azerbaijan, the same test is carried out in Belarus, Moldova, Kyrgyzstan. And all this forms a kind of arc of unrest and tension near the borders of Russia. In fact, we are talking about the consistency of the countries that appeared on the world map solely as a result of the collapse of the Soviet Union. However, formal sovereignty differs from real sovereignty. And today we are observing the general process, when the ability of these countries to build a normal statehood, society, economy in the long term is tested, "he stressed.
All these natural attempts of these and many other states to find their place in the changing world, according to the analyst, are artificially directed towards an anti-Russian channel. Moreover, their destabilization is fueled by the financing of various organizations, both from near and far abroad. By such stimulation of natural processes, the geopolitical opponents of the Russian Federation, in his opinion, are trying to entice the post-Soviet countries, strengthen their positions and weaken Russia.
In this light, the same demarcation and delimitation problems between Armenia and Azerbaijan, according to the analyst, are used by the collective West and neighboring Iran in order to promote their own interests in the region through initiative and creation of new levers to resolve this situation. And such initiatives of the West and Tehran, according to his estimates, fully fit into global impulses. In particular, new trends in negotiations between the West and Iran on Tehran's nuclear program.
In this context, Lukyanov especially emphasized the initiative and new proposals of France in the direction of resolving the situation both in relations between Armenia and Azerbaijan, and directly around the status of Nagorno-Karabakh. At the same time, the analyst highlighted significant differences in the approaches of the West and the Russian Federation as members of the OSCE Minsk Group in these issues. Plus, in his opinion, Iran is actively trying to join the settlement of problems in the region today. The latter has problems with Azerbaijan and recently prospects emerged for the settlement of relations with the West. That, in the aggregate, in the analyst's opinion, allows Yerevan to become a very important partner for Tehran.
"Thus, today we see a fairly high geopolitical tension in the region. At the same time, I personally do not see the threat of its escalation into a large-scale war. This simply will not be allowed, this is obvious. I am convinced that the problem between Armenia and Azerbaijan must be resolved on the basis of respect of territorial integrity of the states. So far, Moscow has shown restraint, but I think that if the parties to the conflict wish, it may well step up its efforts towards solving this problem. But in any case, it must be resolved on the spot, "the analyst concluded.