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 Tuesday, May 18 2021 13:05
David Stepanyan

Forecast:Putin will not act according to the Karabakh scenario and will not send peacekeepers to Palestine

Forecast:Putin will not act according to the Karabakh scenario and will not send peacekeepers to Palestine

ArmInfo.Russian President Vladimir Putin will not act  according to the so-called Karabakh scenario and will not send Russian peacekeepers to the  Israeli -Palestinian  conflict zone.  

Chief Researcher at the Dialogue of Civilizations Research Institute,  Russian orientalist Alexei Malashenko, expressed a similar opinion to  ArmInfo. 

"I very much doubt that our society will rejoice in sending  our troops now to Gaza. In my opinion, Afghanistan, Syria, and now  Nagorno-Karabakh were enough for us. In this light, sending  peacekeepers to the Arab-Israeli conflict zone will become  uncalculated and a wrong political step, which will not in the best  way reflect on the internal positions of the Russian authorities, "he  said.

At the same time, the recent statement of the President of the  Russian Federation, who characterized what is happening between  Israel and Hamas as a "conflict at the borders of Russia," the  orientalist assesses as quite predictable. He noted that in light of  the fact that Putin and his closest circle are firmly convinced that  Russia is nothing more than a besieged fortress, one should not  expect anything else from them. In the light of this logic,  Malashenko states that the border for Russia runs everywhere, for  example, in the same Syria.  And Russia, according to this logic, is  threatened by any conflict in which Americans and Europeans are  present.

At the same time, according to the orientalist,  Russia does not and cannot have a consistent position, especially the  policy regarding the conflict between Israel and Palestine, because  of very good relations with Israel and as well as the support  provided by Moscow to Hamas. The lack of choice, according to  Malashenko, leaves Moscow with the only and optimal option to talk to  both Hamas and Netanyahu. And the current silence of the Kremlin, in  this light, speaks of the absence of a position that would satisfy  both sides.

Assessing the situation as difficult enough, because all other  players have to choose between the parties to the conflict, which is  not beneficial to anyone, the orientalist believes that at least a  truce and contacts between Netanyahu and Hamas are in the interests  of all sides. That is why, so far, both are being encouraged to  negotiate from all sides. Which, according to his forecasts, will  most likely succeed, because there can be no winner in this conflict,  there can only be losers.

"The reasons for the current conflict are completely incomprehensible  to me. But one thing is clear: Today, what is happening in this  region and on such a scale is not beneficial to either Israel or  Palestine. Neither Tel Aviv, nor the Palestinians themselves are  interested in the constant growth of tensions, given that, apart from  Hamas, people with a wide variety of opinions live there. Therefore,  the mutual shelling will end very soon. I think the parties will  agree on this issue sooner or later, in contrast to the status of  Jerusalem and Palestine. There is certainly no need to expect this in  the near future ",  the orientalist summed up. 

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