ArmInfo. The immediate prospects for the actions of the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs entirely depend on geopolitics, in particular, on the vectors of geopolitical interests of the main global and regional players. Political scientist Robert Ghevondyan expressed this opinion to ArmInfo.
"Another important circumstance is the degree of rationality of Yerevan and the orientation of its work exclusively to its own interests. I think that if Armenia is able to take advantage of the geopolitical positions of various players and international processes in general, we will be able to achieve the expected solution to the issue of Artsakh's status ", he considers.
Moreover, according to the political scientist, such purposeful work of Yerevan, coupled with the internal political stability and legitimacy of the authorities after the parliamentary elections scheduled for June 20, will allow the country's leadership to raise the issue of liberating the territories of Artsakh occupied by Azerbaijan.
Returning to the prospects of resuming the work of the OSCE Minsk Group, Ghevondyan linked its terms with the establishment of stability in the international situation. According to him, the attention of the superpowers to the Artsakh problem and all related issues, including the resuscitation of the Minsk Group, requires and is conditioned by the absence of other global international problems. According to the forecasts of the political scientist, all these developments will take place, however, as of today, it is impossible to predict when exactly this will happen.
Thus, according to Ghevondyan's assessments, the return of the Minsk Group undoubtedly proceeds from the interests of Armenia, since this will allow returning to the issue of discussing the status of Artsakh. However, the same prospect, in his opinion, to a certain extent contradicts the interests of Russia, which is still trying to negotiate with Baku and Ankara. According to the political scientist, we are talking about Moscow's desire to drag Baku into its own integration projects with the prospect of restoring the union state.
"A number of statements from Moscow fully reflect Baku's approaches to resolving the conflict. Again, this is due to Putin's serious expectations of Aliyev regarding Azerbaijan's participation in Russia's Eurasian projects, the latter demand from Moscow real steps towards attracting Baku to its side. But on the other hand, Russia cannot either reject the negotiation format of the OSCE Minsk Group completely, or remove from the agenda the issue of determining the status of Artsakh. First of all, because this is contrary to its own interests as well, "he stressed.
In his opinion, to such interests are added quite good relations between Russia and France against the general background, as well as the fact that keeping the Minsk format afloat is an additional lever in the hands of Moscow against Baku.
According to the political scientist, that is why Russia not only does not refuse to participate in the OSCE Minsk Group, but also has an interest in preserving it. First of all, due to the fact that without the OSCE Minsk Group at hand, Moscow may not keep Baku in its zone of influence, not to mention Azerbaijan's Eurasian prospects.