ArmInfo. The constant nature of changes in international relations, Erdogan's Turkey, in order to protect its interests, is doomed to act from a position of strength. This gives Ankara the opportunity to decide on its own-in what scenario, in what suit and in what sign to display its "joker".
Ruben Mehrabyan, an expert at the Armenian Institute of International Relations and Security, expressed a similar opinion to ArmInfo.
"Today we see how Erdogan raises the stakes in this game. Somewhere he wins, somewhere he loses. But in the meantime, he manages to keep the overall balance, primarily due to the excellent awareness of the weaknesses, fears, vanity, stupidity and greed of his partners in this game. And, accordingly, to continue an active foreign policy in all directions, while remaining the vanguard of the "authoritarian international", a loyal ally of the democratic West, a beloved friend of Russia ,the "father of all Turks" and the "defender of all Muslims number one" in the world, " he said.
In the same situation around, faced with the threat of a military invasion of Ukraine, except for the United States and individual allies in Central Europe, the united Europe does not show much desire to support Kiev, according to the expert. But Erdogan immediately appears with his clear position on Ukraine, rhetorically almost as good as Washington, and here. Moreover, it appears immediately after a telephone conversation with Putin, stating that military cooperation with Ukraine is not directed against third countries.
However, in reality, the situation, according to Mehrabyan, is not so stable. Accordingly, Erdogan cannot continue to revel in the inertia of his tactical successes indefinitely. Not only because of political regularities, but also because of many of its own problems, one of which is the fall of the Turkish lira, which limits many of its foreign policy initiatives. According to the expert, against this background, Erdogan's tricks with Putin, the supply of S-400 complexes are already turning into an insurmountable obstacle to Ankara's efforts to prevent US sanctions.
And in this international situation around Turkey, Yerevan, according to Mehrabyan, needs to avoid a situation in which Washington will put Erdogan in his place exclusively through the "Armenian baton". According to the expert, Turkey is too important for the United States, so Washington's assessment of the Armenian issues as just a tribute to the political situation is clearly not in the interests of Armenia. Against this background, according to the expert, Yerevan is finally beginning to realize Moscow's "inability" to resolve the issue of Armenian prisoners in Azerbaijan, as long as Armenia does not address this issue to other addresses. Mehrabyan considers the latest article of the Armenian Ambassador to the United States Varuzhan Nersesyan as evidence of this understanding, in which he directly called on Washington to intervene in the issue of Armenian prisoners.
"Moscow is extremely nervous when it sees that everyone in Yerevan sees and understands everything. And that like yesterday, tomorrow may not work. And if Armenia is going to somehow force its interests to be taken into account, it is necessary to demonstrate that the policy of Yerevan is determined in Yerevan, and not in Moscow. First of all, based on the fact that Russia's irrepressible desire to snatch at least something from Turkish poker with marked cards, even rat the expense of its own interests, is unable to end with something good a priori, " the expert concluded.