ArmInfo.Slide geopolitical rates towards Armenia and further Turkey and Azerbaijan, apparently, will not. Such an opinion was expressed by Arminfo Leading Researcher of the Euro-Atlantic Security Center Institute of International Research, MGIMO, editor-in-chief of the journal Sergey Markedonov.
"All the latest speeches Ilham Aliyev, joint military exercises at the boundaries of Armenia, are an unequivocal attempt to demonstrate the force from Ankara and Baku to consolidate the success achieved in the results of the 44th days of the war. And now they need to demonstrate their own significance, demonstrate the impossibility of solving Questions of regional security, economic and transport communications without taking into account their opinions, "he stressed.
In Yerevan, according to analysts, existing regional projects with the participation of Russia, Turkey and Azerbaijan are considered as a continuation of military failures on the Karabakh front and as a manifestation of the next Armenian retreat. In this world, markedins assesses the perspective of the practical implementation of the 192021 and 11th year and 11th and 11th and 11th and 11th and 11th of January 11, 2021 in Moscow, regardless of the leader's name.
In this regard, Azerbaijan, according to analyst estimates, is in a more profitable position, which allows his leadership to put pressure on Armenia by statements, military exercises near Armenian borders, etc. The goal of all this is an accelerated and profitable demarcation-delimitation of the border, which will make it possible to begin the full involvement of transport corridors. At the same time, Markedonov is by no means confident in the efficiency and ambulance and the very idea of ??applying economic tools to solve the conflict.
"In any case, I would not predict the next war. The intentions and appetites are one thing, and the realities are still somewhat different. Meanwhile, it is realities in the region changed to a number of parameters. One of which is the appearance of Russian peacekeepers. In Nagorno-Karabakh. Thus, the Russian military will be involved in any new hostilities. And I do not think that such inflation rates can correspond to the interests of Turkey and, moreover, Azerbaijan. Moreover, I do not expect the Turkish-Azerbaijani invasion, As an attempt to negotiate the internationally recognized territory from Armenia, " Markedonov summarized .