Forecast: Azerbaijan-Nakhichevan corridor will only aggravate the  blockade of Armenia 

ArmInfo. If the land corridor between Azerbaijan and Nakhichevan is activated, Armenia not only will not receive economic dividends from this project, but will  further aggravate its own transport blockade. Similar opinion Vahe  Davtyan, a member of the political council of the "One Armenia"  party, doctor of political sciences, told ArmInfo.

"In my opinion, the commissioning of this corridor will be  accompanied by a loss of subjectivity for our country. While ensuring  the security of cargo transportation by Armenia will contribute to  the trade turnover of the Turkish-Azerbaijani tandem. Thus, without  receiving a single real dividend, as a result of all this, the role  of Armenia will be reduced to an instrument for even greater  rapprochement between Baku and Ankara, "he stressed.

In this light, according to the expert, the readiness expressed by  Yerevan to ensure the safety of the Azerbaijan-Nakhijevan transport  communication is a rather short-sighted approach. First of all, due  to the possibility of real integration into it, contained in this  project for Armenia. Meanwhile, the latter, according to his  estimates, today appears on the agenda only in theory. At the same  time, in practical terms, according to Davtyan, it is obvious that  within the framework of the trilateral process with the participation  of Armenia, Russia and Azerbaijan, Armenia is not even considered as  a transit zone.

Commenting on the possibility of Armenia's connection with Russia  through the territory of the same Nakhichevan, Davtyan described it  as nonsense from the point of view of economic expediency. According  to him, the route of Armenian cargo through Nakhichevan, all of  Azerbaijan, including Baku, and then the North Caucasus will  significantly increase the time of cargo transportation and,  accordingly, their cost.

In this light, the expert is convinced that the bulk of cargo  transportation from Armenia and to Armenia will continue to be  carried out through the Verkhniy Lars checkpoint and the Black Sea  ports of Georgia. Accordingly, according to his forecasts, Armenia  will not gain anything from the implementation of the projects  envisaged by the joint statements of November 9 and January 11.   Noting that some are trying to present the deblockade of Armenia as a  new opportunity for the economy and the country as a whole, Davtyan  stressed that in reality there is absolutely no logistical expediency  for Armenia in all this.

It should be noted that earlier in an interview with ArmInfo, the  head of the large transport company "Apaven" Gagik Aghajanyan  expressed the same position. In his opinion and calculations, the  construction of a railway through the Meghri corridor will lead  Armenia to a state of complete transport isolation.