Arminfo.info


 Tuesday, December 1 2020 13:01
David Stepanyan

Forecast: There will be no dramatic changes in the issue of Armenia`s  sovereignty

Forecast: There will be no dramatic changes in the issue of Armenia`s  sovereignty

ArmInfo.The settlement of the current internal political crisis in Armenia requires the  resignation of Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan. However, in order for  Pashinyan to leave, a new "Pashinyan" is needed. The resolution of  such crisis situations, as a rule, requires the emergence of just  such unexpected political figures. Russian political analyst Vadim  Dubnov expressed this opinion to ArmInfo.

"At the same time, it is not clear where to get this newest Pashinyan  today. Perhaps so far we simply do not imagine possible scenarios in  this direction. And I do not exclude Moscow's involvement in this  issue.  Although I frankly do not understand why this could be Moscow  needs it. In this light, I am inclined to believe that the name of  the future prime minister in the early elections will still be  determined by the citizens of Armenia, "he said.

In light of the emergence of the Russian presence in Artsakh and the  weakening of the negotiating positions of Armenia, the analyst  registered the changes in the Armenian-Russian relations as a fact.  Nevertheless, Dubnov does not consider these changes to be dramatic,  since in one way or another Yerevan has never refused Moscow in any  question. Russia, in turn, in his opinion, has never abused this.

According to the expert, today Russia does not intend to receive  anything from Armenia that could be used as a resource in one  direction or another. And in the light of the absence of Moscow's  demands contradicting the Armenian interests, dramatic changes in the  issue of Armenia's sovereignty should not be expected.

Commenting on Russia's intentions regarding Artsakh, which is  actually under its control, Dubnov assessed the current situation as  very complex and ambivalent. In his opinion, at this stage Artsakh is  partially in the status of South Ossetia. According to the analyst's  forecasts, in the future Armenia will deal with the administrative  issues of Artsakh. There is no need for Moscow to take on these  issues.  "In this light, some semblance of a Russian protectorate  over Artsakh will be established. It suits everyone.  Of course, in  the future it will not be necessary to rule out the distribution of  Russian passports to the population of Artsakh, however, I still  think that everything will end with "Transnistria", "the Russian  analyst concluded. 

POST A COMMENT
Input digits     

News
Archbishops Mikael Ajapakhian and Bagrat Galstanian, currently in NSS  detention center, go on hunger strikeArchbishops Mikael Ajapakhian and Bagrat Galstanian, currently in NSS  detention center, go on hunger strike
Holy Etchmiadzin issued statement expressing indignation at   reprehensible campaign unleashed by Holy Etchmiadzin issued statement expressing indignation at   reprehensible campaign unleashed by 
Under  hashtag #MERDZEVOV, march in support of political prisoner,  well-known businessman and entrepreneur Samvel Karapetyan starting on  the central boulevard of YerevanUnder  hashtag #MERDZEVOV, march in support of political prisoner,  well-known businessman and entrepreneur Samvel Karapetyan starting on  the central boulevard of Yerevan
A march in support of Samvel Karapetyan started in YerevanA march in support of Samvel Karapetyan started in Yerevan
A leader without trust, an opposition without support and peace  without concessions:  Nikol Pashinyan`s 7 years in powerA leader without trust, an opposition without support and peace  without concessions:  Nikol Pashinyan`s 7 years in power
Armenian Cathedral of Ani to function as a mosque after restorationArmenian Cathedral of Ani to function as a mosque after restoration
IDBank issues the 3rd, 4th and 5th tranches of bonds of 2025IDBank issues the 3rd, 4th and 5th tranches of bonds of 2025
Christian Solidarity International urges UN Human Rights Council to  appoint a special rapporteur for Nagorno-KarabakhChristian Solidarity International urges UN Human Rights Council to  appoint a special rapporteur for Nagorno-Karabakh
Armenia`s public multiplex  should not be used to serve foreign  policy agendas - StatementArmenia`s public multiplex  should not be used to serve foreign  policy agendas - Statement
Lawyer: the next part of Marlezon Ballet being staged in parliamentLawyer: the next part of Marlezon Ballet being staged in parliament
Alen Simonyan believes that Catholicos of All Armenians will soon  vacate Patriarchal throneAlen Simonyan believes that Catholicos of All Armenians will soon  vacate Patriarchal throne
Armenian Court of Appeal upholds Samvel Karapetyan`s arrestArmenian Court of Appeal upholds Samvel Karapetyan`s arrest
Lindsay Snell calls for support of  ANCA initiative to launch a  bipartisan Congressional letter in defense of Artsakh Armenians Lindsay Snell calls for support of  ANCA initiative to launch a  bipartisan Congressional letter in defense of Artsakh Armenians 
According to recording, <Tashir Samvel> was supposed to join later,  and Bagrat Galstanyan speaks about this: RA NA Speaker According to recording, was supposed to join later,  and Bagrat Galstanyan speaks about this: RA NA Speaker 
Levon Kocharyan is not a political figure: Alen Simonyan does not  comment on his remarksLevon Kocharyan is not a political figure: Alen Simonyan does not  comment on his remarks
Taguhi Tovmasyan to RA Prosecutor General: Maybe you haven`t received   SMS, and there is no political expediency in punishing Civil  Contract`s favorite businessman ?Taguhi Tovmasyan to RA Prosecutor General: Maybe you haven`t received   SMS, and there is no political expediency in punishing Civil  Contract`s favorite businessman ?
French Arnouville adopts resolution condemning unfair expulsion of   ICRC from AzerbaijanFrench Arnouville adopts resolution condemning unfair expulsion of   ICRC from Azerbaijan
Gegham Stepanyan: Artsakh art historians have no legal issues in  Armenia, difficulties exist only in practical fieldGegham Stepanyan: Artsakh art historians have no legal issues in  Armenia, difficulties exist only in practical field
All conversations and a fragment of the recording with Archbishop  Bagrat Galstanyan are manipulative - ARFAll conversations and a fragment of the recording with Archbishop  Bagrat Galstanyan are manipulative - ARF
Azerbaijan holding 17th ECO summit in occupied StepanakertAzerbaijan holding 17th ECO summit in occupied Stepanakert
Vahagn Chakhalyan detained Vahagn Chakhalyan detained 
RA Prosecutor General personally submitted report on Samvel  Karapetyan, which is evidence of political persecution - lawyer RA Prosecutor General personally submitted report on Samvel  Karapetyan, which is evidence of political persecution - lawyer 
Azerbaijani regime continues crackdown on journalists Azerbaijani regime continues crackdown on journalists 
RA FM holds farewell meeting with Swedish ambassador to Armenia RA FM holds farewell meeting with Swedish ambassador to Armenia 
Transport movement to be stopped in some of Yerevan`s neighborhoods  on July 4 and 5 Transport movement to be stopped in some of Yerevan`s neighborhoods  on July 4 and 5 
Cultural return must be cause of return to Artsakh - ex-minister of  culture Cultural return must be cause of return to Artsakh - ex-minister of  culture 
`Armenia`s ruling force staging performance against me` - Seyran  Ohanyan `Armenia`s ruling force staging performance against me` - Seyran  Ohanyan 
RA NA discussing consent to prosecution of MPs Seyran Ohanyan and  Artsvik Minasyan RA NA discussing consent to prosecution of MPs Seyran Ohanyan and  Artsvik Minasyan 
Yerevan hopes for strategic partnership with Washington Yerevan hopes for strategic partnership with Washington 
Pashinyan to Trump: `I highly appreciate your vision for ending  conflicts and establishing peace in the world`Pashinyan to Trump: `I highly appreciate your vision for ending  conflicts and establishing peace in the world`
Russian-Armenian businessman Samvel Karapetyan demands apology from  pro-government MPsRussian-Armenian businessman Samvel Karapetyan demands apology from  pro-government MPs
Armenia needs mechanisms to prevent one-man rule - expert Armenia needs mechanisms to prevent one-man rule - expert 
Armenia`s ex-premier raises voice in defense of Russian-Armenian  businessman Samvel Karapetyan Armenia`s ex-premier raises voice in defense of Russian-Armenian  businessman Samvel Karapetyan 
Armenia appreciates US support for peace efforts in South Caucasus -  RA vice-premier Armenia appreciates US support for peace efforts in South Caucasus -  RA vice-premier 
Armenian authorities actions killing businesses - UAR president Armenian authorities actions killing businesses - UAR president 
Current authorities` actions in  the energy sector demonstrate a consistent and systematic anti-national strategy: David AnanyanCurrent authorities` actions in  the energy sector demonstrate a consistent and systematic anti-national strategy: David Ananyan
Ottawa to continue its support to Yerevan: AmbassadorOttawa to continue its support to Yerevan: Ambassador
If the border crossing  between Armenia and Turkey is to be renamed,  it should be in honor of Hrant Dink:  International Institute for  Genocide and Human Rights If the border crossing  between Armenia and Turkey is to be renamed,  it should be in honor of Hrant Dink:  International Institute for  Genocide and Human Rights 
Armenia`s National Assembly  adopted statement on  inadmissibility of  state power seizureArmenia`s National Assembly  adopted statement on  inadmissibility of  state power seizure
Even while in custody, Samvel Karapetyan  is a thousand times more  liberated than  Armenian authorities:  son of Tashir State  Corporation`s head Even while in custody, Samvel Karapetyan  is a thousand times more  liberated than  Armenian authorities:  son of Tashir State  Corporation`s head 
Mikael Ajapahyan`s lawyers file an appeal against the decision to arrestMikael Ajapahyan`s lawyers file an appeal against the decision to arrest
Armenia, Vienna discuss ways to enhance cooperation in migrationArmenia, Vienna discuss ways to enhance cooperation in migration
Mirzoyan: Armenia seeks to strengthen ties with China without any  limitationsMirzoyan: Armenia seeks to strengthen ties with China without any  limitations
Armenian-Belgian consultations between Foreign Ministries of Armenia  and Belgium  held in YerevanArmenian-Belgian consultations between Foreign Ministries of Armenia  and Belgium  held in Yerevan
Armenia willing to join SCOArmenia willing to join SCO
Less than 10,000 out of approximately 150,000 internally displaced  persons  from Nagorno-Karabakh received citizenship  of ArmeniaLess than 10,000 out of approximately 150,000 internally displaced  persons  from Nagorno-Karabakh received citizenship  of Armenia
RA Minister of Justice announces creation of self-regulatory body in   media RA Minister of Justice announces creation of self-regulatory body in   media 
Pashinyan receives Ambassador of Sweden, who is concluding his  diplomatic mission in ArmeniaPashinyan receives Ambassador of Sweden, who is concluding his  diplomatic mission in Armenia
Results of meeting of Constitutional Reforms Council to underlie  ideology of new Constitution Results of meeting of Constitutional Reforms Council to underlie  ideology of new Constitution 
Financial assistance programme for some forcibly displaced  Nagorno-Karabakh Armenians to be continued until end of 2025 Financial assistance programme for some forcibly displaced  Nagorno-Karabakh Armenians to be continued until end of 2025 
Armenian law-enforcers confiscate over 7kg of marijuana Armenian law-enforcers confiscate over 7kg of marijuana 
Ardshinbank summed up the raffle organized for Mastercard Business cardholdersArdshinbank summed up the raffle organized for Mastercard Business cardholders
Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria to allocate  $9.6mln to Armenia Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria to allocate  $9.6mln to Armenia 
Armenia modifies order of compensations under ECHR judgments Armenia modifies order of compensations under ECHR judgments 
No one can deal with issue of Ruben Vardanyan`s release - Andrey  MovchanNo one can deal with issue of Ruben Vardanyan`s release - Andrey  Movchan
Armenia`s premier demands early election of Catholicos of All  Armenians Armenia`s premier demands early election of Catholicos of All  Armenians 
Checkpoint on Turkish-Armenian border  could be renamed Talaat Pasha  Border CrossingCheckpoint on Turkish-Armenian border  could be renamed Talaat Pasha  Border Crossing
Sargis Khandanyan elected Chair of General Committee on Democracy,  Human Rights and Humanitarian QuestionsSargis Khandanyan elected Chair of General Committee on Democracy,  Human Rights and Humanitarian Questions
Azerbaijani and Armenian leaders to meet in Dubai later in JulyAzerbaijani and Armenian leaders to meet in Dubai later in July
Archbishop Mikael Ajapahyan`s lawyers filed petition with  prosecutor`s office to terminate  criminal prosecutionArchbishop Mikael Ajapahyan`s lawyers filed petition with  prosecutor`s office to terminate  criminal prosecution
Read more



Commented