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 Tuesday, December 1 2020 13:01
David Stepanyan

Forecast: There will be no dramatic changes in the issue of Armenia`s  sovereignty

Forecast: There will be no dramatic changes in the issue of Armenia`s  sovereignty

ArmInfo.The settlement of the current internal political crisis in Armenia requires the  resignation of Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan. However, in order for  Pashinyan to leave, a new "Pashinyan" is needed. The resolution of  such crisis situations, as a rule, requires the emergence of just  such unexpected political figures. Russian political analyst Vadim  Dubnov expressed this opinion to ArmInfo.

"At the same time, it is not clear where to get this newest Pashinyan  today. Perhaps so far we simply do not imagine possible scenarios in  this direction. And I do not exclude Moscow's involvement in this  issue.  Although I frankly do not understand why this could be Moscow  needs it. In this light, I am inclined to believe that the name of  the future prime minister in the early elections will still be  determined by the citizens of Armenia, "he said.

In light of the emergence of the Russian presence in Artsakh and the  weakening of the negotiating positions of Armenia, the analyst  registered the changes in the Armenian-Russian relations as a fact.  Nevertheless, Dubnov does not consider these changes to be dramatic,  since in one way or another Yerevan has never refused Moscow in any  question. Russia, in turn, in his opinion, has never abused this.

According to the expert, today Russia does not intend to receive  anything from Armenia that could be used as a resource in one  direction or another. And in the light of the absence of Moscow's  demands contradicting the Armenian interests, dramatic changes in the  issue of Armenia's sovereignty should not be expected.

Commenting on Russia's intentions regarding Artsakh, which is  actually under its control, Dubnov assessed the current situation as  very complex and ambivalent. In his opinion, at this stage Artsakh is  partially in the status of South Ossetia. According to the analyst's  forecasts, in the future Armenia will deal with the administrative  issues of Artsakh. There is no need for Moscow to take on these  issues.  "In this light, some semblance of a Russian protectorate  over Artsakh will be established. It suits everyone.  Of course, in  the future it will not be necessary to rule out the distribution of  Russian passports to the population of Artsakh, however, I still  think that everything will end with "Transnistria", "the Russian  analyst concluded. 

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