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 Tuesday, October 6 2020 13:24
David Stepanyan

Forecast: Armenia will strike a blow that will put into question the  very continued existence of Azerbaijan

Forecast: Armenia will strike a blow that will put into question the  very continued existence of Azerbaijan

ArmInfo. In a large-scale terrorist war against Artsakh, Azerbaijan and Turkey are trying to resolve a number of issues. Doctor of Historical Sciences Hayk  Demoyan expressed a similar opinion to ArmInfo.

"Ankara, in particular, including through Azerbaijan, is trying to  resolve regional issues and clothe itself with the status of a major  player in the South Caucasus. Another task of Turkey to expand the  celebration of the 100th anniversary of the Turkish Republic to  Azerbaijan. In general, war is a means for Turkey achieving its main  goal - limiting Russia's military presence in the South Caucasus. For  this purpose, Ankara uses Azerbaijan under fraternal slogans. The  price of the issue is the degree to which Russia will allow Turkey to  implement this policy, "he stressed.

The interests of Azerbaijan, or rather the Aliyev clan, according to  the historian, are due to the obvious large economic redistribution  in this country. According to Demoyan's forecasts, other clans will  try to redistribute the huge economic fortunes accumulated by the  Aliyev clan. And external players will help them in this, of course,  having received their share for this. Thus, Ilham Aliyev is deciding  the issue of preserving his power in this war.

"Aliyev's instinct for self-preservation plays a key role here..  Thousands of corpses are just a good way for him to stay in power. At  the same time, the initiation of an expensive in every sense of the  war amid falling oil prices and the economic crisis in the country  looks strange. Baku, apparently, believes that they still have money  for this war. But do they have an army capable of fighting for it?  "After all, all the recent losses speak of Azerbaijan's fiasco," he  stressed.

In this light, the historian does not expect the soonest real  response of the international community to the Azerbaijani-Turkish  adventure. According to him, the world is biding its time for gains  or losses on either side. Concrete actions will follow only after  calculating their own benefits in relations with the participants in  the war. And having gone to the limit in this war, the player Aliyev  put the existence of his family and the existence of Azerbaijan on  the map at stake. Artsakh, against this background, according to the  historian, proves not only its own viability, but also outlines  programs for the future, moreover, not only related to security.

"Today we are once again demonstrating to the world that we are a  country that excludes genocide. To this end, we must create a serious  threat for Azerbaijan, which will rule out its next war attempt. We  need to very quickly inflict such a painful blow on Azerbaijan that  will make Aliyev doubt in the further expediency of continuing the  war. Aliev must be faced with an alternative: either he continues the  war and loses everything, or he stops it in order to save his own  skin. I am convinced that our leadership will accept this historic  decision and strike a blow that will put into question the very  continued existence of Azerbaijan. Today our army has all the  possibilities, "Demoyan summed up. 

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