ArmInfo. There may be explosive outbreaks of coronavirus in Armenia, when, for example, the number of infected will reach 500 thousand, hospitalized - tens of thousands, and deaths will be in the hundreds. Minister of Healthcare of the Republic of Armenia Arsen Torosyan announced on May 4 at a meeting of the Standing Committee on Health and Social Affairs of the National Assembly of the Republic of Armenia.
According to the minister, this is a possible scenario that has already been observed in several countries around the world, and it directly depends on whether citizens observe preventive measures for the spread of coronavirus. In this regard, Torosyan once again urged the population not to lose vigilance, and strictly follow safety rules (maintaining social distance, wearing personal protective equipment, and so on). As was noted, in the case of coronavirus, it is difficult to predict the situation, since it can change dramatically under the influence of a number of factors. For example, a "super-spreader" of an infection can infect tens and hundreds of people at once, for example, cases in Etchmiadzin (60-70 infected from one virus carrier) and a manufacturing plant in Yerevan (about 300 infected).
In addition, it is also difficult to say whether the situation with the coronavirus will last a year or two. Given the cyclical nature of the epidemics (fall, winter, spring and another fall, winter and spring), it can be assumed that the coronavirus epidemic will either decline in the next spring, or by that time appropriate medicines and a vaccine will be developed.
The Minister informed that a draft law has already been developed regarding the requirements of medical and sanitary safety, according to which the government will have the tools to implement local measures upon completion of the state of emegency (restrictions on movement, isolation and self-isolation of citizens, and so on). Torosyan expressed hope that this document will be approved by the parliament in the near future.