ArmInfo. For me, as a person who is more or less familiar with the history and with the course of the conflict, nothing interesting happened in Munich. A similar opinion was expressed to ArmInfo, by well-known Azerbaijani analyst Rauf Mirkadyrov.
On February 16, Prime Minister of Armenia Nikol Pashinyan and President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev for the first time participated in a public discussion on the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict on the sidelines of the Munich Security Conference. "I did not hear anything new during this discussion. I heard all these words from Heydar Aliyev, Ilham Aliyev himself, from Robert Kocharian, from Serzh Sargsyan and from Nikol Pashinyan himself repeatedly. In Munich, Pashinyan and Aliyev simply said in the presence of each other what they previously said separately. Thus, nothing new happened from the point of view of resolving the conflict. The leaders voiced the usual cliches and it was not interesting to listen to them, "he stressed.The analyst assumes that they did not address the audience sitting in the hall, but their inner (national) audience. According to his estimates, both Pashinyan and Aliyev have their own internal problems.
Pashinyan has a permanent problem - he can't figure out, roughly speaking, the problem he has with the Karabakh clan. Aliyev has serious problems with the economic situation, and quite recently, quite problematic parliamentary elections were held in the country. Accordingly, he also urgently needed to look at a certain high-level in Munich.At the same time, some Munich cliches, according to Mirkadyrov's estimates, have become boring. For example, the same references to history as an argument in the discussion. The problem of conflict resolution, of course, must be considered exclusively in the context of existing realities, without looking back at history. Also, in his opinion, there is no need to talk about the absolute prevalence of the right of peoples to self-determination over territorial integrity and vice versa."In Europe, there are two, even three German-speaking states: Germany, Austria and partially Switzerland. At the same time, many nations without statehood live and will live for centuries. In this light, there is no priority of one principle over another, as Mr. Pashinyan is trying to argue and Aliyev, no, and will not. Accordingly, the need arises for a search and finding an option that can balance the interests of our countries, "the analyst is convinced.In this light, the analyst sees at least some way out of the impasse in the phased version of the settlement. Moreover, in his opinion, it is necessary to clearly define this phasing, stage by stage. In his opinion, a phased option is more acceptable than a batch one for the simple reason that it is actually impossible to solve everything at once.
All can be solved at once only by refusing Karabakh by Armenia or Azerbaijan. There is no dilemma here, either one or the other should refuse."Armenia cannot refuse, Nikol Pashinyan, and any other power will be thrown off the very next day. Ilham Aliyev may not be thrown off and he will somehow remain in power, but in any case, the decision to abandon Karabakh will cause him huge problems. Therefore, today a package solution is excluded. Accordingly, the strage-by-stage option is not good at all because of its exceptional effectiveness. Today it simply has no alternative, "Mirkadyrov summed up.