Friday, December 6 2019 20:04

ArmInfo. The danger of a real, large-scale war in the short and medium term is excluded, since there is no resource base for this. The Director of the Caucasus Institute,  political scientist Alexander Iskandaryan said this at a press  conference.

Iskandaryan recalled that the Greater Caucasus is the second region  in the world by number of conventional armaments and no one will  allow the resumption of a real large-scale war, however, the expert  does not exclude the growth of escalation on the Line of Contact of  troops in the conflict zone.  Touching upon the statement of the OSCE  Minsk Group co-chairs, in particular, that the status quo is  unacceptable and there can be no military solution to the Karabakh  conflict, Iskandaryan noted: <The status quo is perceived only as a  configuration of borders, meaning that Karabakh will not be  recognized, but the borders will remain as they are today. However,  the status quo also means the loss of at least several dozen young  lives a year from the Armenian side, the same thing is happening in  Azerbaijan>.  Iskandaryan noted that in this context, the statement  of the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs is acceptable, however at the same  time looks cynical from the point of view when they say that losses  occur in many conflicts, but on the basis of humanitarian  considerations, the victims are unacceptable.

 "The parties are not ready to compromise, Armenia and Azerbaijan's  understanding of compromise does not coincide. Azerbaijan calls a  compromise solution a return to the situation before 1988, which  actually becomes impossible and unacceptable for discussion. Armenia  calls a compromise the preservation of the current situation and in  addition recognition of Artsakh that Azerbaijanis are not ready to  discuss,> the political scientist said.

According to the expert, in this case it is necessary to continue to  do what is being done, namely to work to reduce the degree of  violence on the contact line, the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs are  working on this in a visible and invisible way, he said. "The  opportunities aimed at reducing violence are not as null as the  attempt to resolve the conflict, Mnatsakanyan, the co-chairs speak  about this, and even Azerbaijan sometimes speaks in," Iskandaryan  emphasized. The political scientist recalled that the last attempt at  a settlement was made in Kazan in 2011, and everything that happened  after that is a "conflict management", however, stating that the  level of violence has been decreasing since 2016 and is now at the  level of 2011- 2012.