ArmInfo. Despite the foreign policy activity mainly determined by internal political problems, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has no time for Armenia and Artsakh. Director of the Institute of Oriental Studies of the National Academy of Sciences of Armenia, Academician Ruben Safrastyan expressed this opinion to ArmInfo.
"I don't think that the Erdogan's government today has the appropriate resources to destabilize the situation around Artsakh, and especially in the South Caucasus as a whole. This will become possible only if Turkey loses in its Middle East games. So far, Ankara is actively working in the Syrian direction, is fighting against the Kurds and is making every effort to knock out another concession from the EU, blackmailing Europeans with refugees from Syria, "he stressed.
According to the academician, the Turkish president today has many problems, both with the US and the EU, as well as domestically. And if the first ones are derived by Turkish politics eastward, the second ones are the result of the unfavorable socio-economic situation in the country. According to Safrastyan, the victory of the People's Republican Party of Turkey in the recent Istanbul mayoral elections is the clearest indicator of domestic political trends. However, the Turkologist does not assess the departure of former Prime Minister and former Foreign Minister of Turkey Ahmed Davudoglu from the Justice and Development party as a significant threat to Erdogan's government.
According to him, the neo-Ottoman ideologist Davutoglu and several of his associates are not able to create a second pole in Turkey, to undermine the positions of the ruling AKP, primarily due to the fact that they continue to be associated with Erdogan even after leaving the AKP. "Davutoglu has a positive reputation, especially in comparison with Erdogan's, only in the West, but not within the country. As a politician, he is more balanced, has great authority in the West, and at least negotiations can be conducted with him. Inside Turkey, Erdogan is the only real competitor and the Kemalists, the People's Republican Party, can become an alternative AKP political force, especially given that the first step is the victory of the candidate of the People's Democratic Party Ekrem Imamoglu in Istanbul, "he said.