ArmInfo.Over the past 5 years, the GDP of Azerbaijan dropped from 74 billion 240 million dollars to 46 billion 900 million dollars. And that means a decrease of more than 27 billion.
According to economist Natik Jafarli, whose words are cited by TURAN, in neighboring Armenia, the GDP increased by about $ 800 million over this period. The economist believes that the sharp decline in Azerbaijan over these 5 years is due to the drop in oil prices and double devaluation. "After the devaluation, the manat fell sharply and the GDP specified in dollars also began to decline. The decline in the oil price accelerated the decline in the GDP even more, and compared to 2012-2013, the GDP decreased 3-fold," he said.
Jafarli added that the reduction in the GDP demonstrates the extent to which Azerbaijan depends on the oil factor. "There will be fluctuations in the GDP in the country. Whenever the price of oil is high, the GDP will also rise. Otherwise, the GDP will decline, while Armenia and Georgia, which do not have any resources will be ahead of us." According to the economist, the Azerbaijani authorities must take serious steps to remedy the situation, and if there is political will, legal and political reforms are carried out, and management changes, then in a few years it will be possible to eliminate dependence on oil. According to Azerbaijani officials, the rate of economic growth in the country in 2018 was 1.4%, and in 2017 - 0.1%. Despite the statements by the authorities about steps to diversify the economy and reduce oil and gas dependence, in the non-oil sector the increase in the GDP was 1.8%, whereas in 2017 this figure was at the level of 2.7%.