ArmInfo. The defeat of the candidate of the AKP Binali Yıldırım in Istanbul is primarily the defeat of Recep Erdogan throughout Turkey. Similar opinion was expressed by ArmInfo associate expert AIMOB, turkologist Hayk Gabrielyan.
On June 24, the candidate of the Republican People's Party, Ekrem Imamoglu, won the re-election of the mayor of Istanbul. Turkish President Recep Erdogan acknowledged the results of the vote and the defeat of his colleague in the Justice and Development Party Binali Yıldırım. After processing 99.4% of the vote, Imamoglu scored 54% of the vote, and the former prime minister and ex-speaker of the parliament Yıldırım - only 45.1%.
The AKP was defeated in the election of the mayor of Istanbul for the first time since 2002. The first mayoral elections in Istanbul this year were held in March 2019, but their results were canceled by the authorities, which caused mass protests throughout Turkey.
"The defeat in Istanbul became a serious alarming bell about the need for serious rearrangements in the ruling party. Accordingly, Erdogan needs to begin preparations for the next parliamentary and presidential elections of 2023 today. If you follow the logic of the process according to which the opposition will win all local elections until 2023 of the year, Erdogan may even lose power even before the parliamentary and presidential elections, "said the turkologist.
According to Gabrielyan, the AKP was defeated in Istanbul for several reasons. First of all, it became possible due to Erdogan's mistakes, omissions and adventurism both in the domestic and foreign policy of the country. Together, all this led to serious problems in Turkey, the depreciation of the lira, inflation, and, as a result, serious public discontent.
Against this background, according to expert estimates, the opposition in the face of the RPP has managed not only to mobilize its own capabilities and forces, but also to win over the Kurdish electorate. To this, in the opinion of the turkologist, one can add the lack of the personal charisma inherent in Erdogan in Yıldırım.
"And of course, a significant role in the change of power in Istanbul was Erdogan's decision to go for repeat elections. Considering that this decision was not shared by all Erdogan's comrades in the party, repeated elections and especially their results could turn against him. And not only in the party, but also, in general, in the country. This can reject a significant part of the AKP electorate in all subsequent elections, "the turkologist concluded.