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 Monday, April 8 2019 13:32
David Stepanyan

Forecast: Azerbaijan does not go on a new adventure against  Artsakh allow fraternal relations between Russia and Turkey

Forecast: Azerbaijan does not go on a new adventure against  Artsakh allow fraternal relations between Russia and Turkey

ArmInfo.Fraternal relations betweenRussia and Turkey will not allow Azerbaijan to go on a new adventureagainst Artsakh. At least, until this relationship once  again does not deteriorate. A similar opinion was expressed by  ArmInfo, the hero of the Artsakh war, Major General Arkady  Ter-Tadevosyan (Commandos).

"Today, the leadership of Azerbaijan, who is sitting on money, is  simply not in a position to afford a new war. In this light, the  statements of the Azerbaijani Defense Minister about the military  readiness of the Armed Forces for military operations, which  allegedly can start at any time,  do not conform,to put it mildly, to  the existing realities. 

There is also geopolitics - you need to understand that the Karabakh  conflict is not a conflict exclusively between Armenia and  Azerbaijan. A group of countries is involved in the conflict, "the  general noted. In this light, Ter-Tadevosyan recalled that the April  2016 war was started by Azerbaijan at the instigation of Turkey,  which at that time had very serious problems in relations with  Russia. However, now the situation in the Russian-Turkish relations,  according to his estimates, is completely different and Baku cannot  ignore the existing realities. 

On the other hand, Ilham Aliyev needs from time to time to  demonstrate to the people the desire to "return the lands", which,  according to the Armenian general, explains such statements by the  Azerbaijani Defense Minister.According to Ter-Tadevosyan, the sharp  decrease in the number of violations of the ceasefire regime on the  contact line in Artsakh is also to some extent due to the good  relations between Moscow and Ankara. At the same time, according to  him, violations of the armistice regime have been, are and will  always be. However, according to the estimates of the general, if  earlier the Armenian armed forces always only responded to enemy  shots, today the situation is completely different and often the  Armenian military are acting in a preventive manner."Our military  today, of course, are in a much higher degree of combat readiness  than, for example, in April 2016. At least, this is evidenced by the  continued substantial re- equipment and re-equipment of the front  line. Azerbaijanis see all this well and, accordingly, understand  that the new war could end very badly for them. It also contributes  to keeping the military-political leadership of the neighboring  country in a sober state, "the general emphasized. 

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