ArmInfo.Fraternal relations betweenRussia and Turkey will not allow Azerbaijan to go on a new adventureagainst Artsakh. At least, until this relationship once again does not deteriorate. A similar opinion was expressed by ArmInfo, the hero of the Artsakh war, Major General Arkady Ter-Tadevosyan (Commandos).
"Today, the leadership of Azerbaijan, who is sitting on money, is simply not in a position to afford a new war. In this light, the statements of the Azerbaijani Defense Minister about the military readiness of the Armed Forces for military operations, which allegedly can start at any time, do not conform,to put it mildly, to the existing realities.
There is also geopolitics - you need to understand that the Karabakh conflict is not a conflict exclusively between Armenia and Azerbaijan. A group of countries is involved in the conflict, "the general noted. In this light, Ter-Tadevosyan recalled that the April 2016 war was started by Azerbaijan at the instigation of Turkey, which at that time had very serious problems in relations with Russia. However, now the situation in the Russian-Turkish relations, according to his estimates, is completely different and Baku cannot ignore the existing realities.
On the other hand, Ilham Aliyev needs from time to time to demonstrate to the people the desire to "return the lands", which, according to the Armenian general, explains such statements by the Azerbaijani Defense Minister.According to Ter-Tadevosyan, the sharp decrease in the number of violations of the ceasefire regime on the contact line in Artsakh is also to some extent due to the good relations between Moscow and Ankara. At the same time, according to him, violations of the armistice regime have been, are and will always be. However, according to the estimates of the general, if earlier the Armenian armed forces always only responded to enemy shots, today the situation is completely different and often the Armenian military are acting in a preventive manner."Our military today, of course, are in a much higher degree of combat readiness than, for example, in April 2016. At least, this is evidenced by the continued substantial re- equipment and re-equipment of the front line. Azerbaijanis see all this well and, accordingly, understand that the new war could end very badly for them. It also contributes to keeping the military-political leadership of the neighboring country in a sober state, "the general emphasized.