Forecast: The probability of a joint statement by Turkey, Georgia and  Azerbaijan in New York on Karabakh and Abkhazia is quite large

ArmInfo.The likelihood of a joint statement of Turkey, Georgia and Azerbaijan on Karabakh and Abkhazia at the UN General Assembly in New York is quite large. A  similar opinion was expressed by ArmInfo the head of the Center for Post-Soviet Studies at the Institute of World Economy and International Relations of the IMEMO RAS. EAT. Primakov Alexander Krylov.

"I think that the likelihood of Georgia joining the joint statement  with Turkey and Azerbaijan on Karabakh is quite high, I can not say  this with full confidence, however, the joint declaration of these  countries on the territorial integrity of Azerbaijan and Georgia will  certainly not be the best option for Yerevan. It seems to me that the  decision to refuse to participate in the NATO exercises in Georgia in  Yerevan was taken on the basis of the regional context -  strengthening the alliance of Turkey, Georgia and Azerbaijan.In  conditions of increasing tensions in the region of  conflicts Armenia  quite naturally decided inexpedient to participate in NATO exercises,  "- said the expert.

Armenia unexpectedly refused to participate in the NATO exercise  "Agile spirit 2017" that started on September 3 in Georgia. Nino  Tolordava, head of the Public Relations and Strategic Communications  Department of the Georgian Defense Ministry, made a relevant  statement. After that, the Ministry of Defense of Georgia replaced  the flag of Armenia on the official logotype of the exercises with  the flag of Azerbaijan.

Krylov is convinced that, regardless of Moscow's attitude towards  Armenia's partnership with NATO, the decision to participate in  Armenia was made not in Moscow, but in Yerevan. The expert determined  the possible drastic changes in the Armenian-Russian relations by  Armenia's accession to NATO. And also the deployment of NATO troops  on the territory of the republic. At the same time, Moscow, according  to his estimations, regards normal cooperation between Armenia and  NATO in different formats.  "NATO, and the US in particular, have  repeatedly declared their unwillingness to take responsibility for  the security of Armenia, and they are not ready to compensate for  Armenia's economic losses in the event of a cooling of the  Armenian-Russian relations, taking into account Armenia's relations  with its neighbors, participation in the CSTO and the military  alliance with Russia for Yerevan are very important.Therefore, in  this case the position of Yerevan is more influenced by this position  than the relationship with Moscow, "Krylov said.

Armenia's cooperation with NATO expert determines the rules of  international relations, according to which most countries do not  want to spoil relations with major powers, primarily with the US. In  this light, there is nothing surprising in Armenia's cooperation with  NATO and the United States. And getting preferences from such  cooperation, given the difficult situation in Armenia, will only find  understanding in Moscow, "Krylov summed up