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 Wednesday, January 11 2017 14:09
David Stepanyan

Stratfor forecast: Upcoming months not to  be easy for CSTO, with   Karabakh issue among  reasons 

Stratfor forecast: Upcoming months not to  be easy for CSTO, with   Karabakh issue among  reasons 

ArmInfo. Upcoming months will not be easy for CSTO, and the Karabakh issue will be one  of the reasons, American analytical  center of Stratfor forecasts.  "The CSTO summit   held on December  26 showed all the depth of disagreement between member countries, which still  restricts the efficiency of this military alliance. 

Particularly, it is the second time CSTO cannot appoint a person  to  replace  Secretary General Nikolay Bordjuzha, which term has expired.   And, despite there is a time left to the next CSTO summit to be held  in April, the prospective to reach consensus in respect to this or  any other issues are very suspicious for the alliance," the center  experts state.  

The article also reads that CSTO did not turn a powerful tool, and  the latest events showed the resources of CSTO being restricted and  limited. Particularly, the absence of   Nursultan  Nazarbaev, the  President of Kazakhstan, at the December summit was not occasional. 

The article reads also that Kazakhstan and Belarus keep closest  relations with Baku, and it is obvious that they are not ready to  accept Armenian candidate of Moscow as CSTO new secretary. CSTO has  never been a  really  joint alliance, and the discussions due to the  candidacy of next Secretary General could complicate the situation  much more, up to the appointment of Russian candidate.  Starting with  January 1, 2017 the CSTO Secretary General responsibilities will be  performed by  Valeri Semerikov, the Deputy Secretary General, "due to  expiration of Nikolay Bordjuzha's responsibility term on December 31,  2016." According to the Statutes of the Organization, the post of the  CSTO Secretary General should be occupied by Armenian representative.  But in October and December 2016 the issue has been excluded from  Agena due to the absence of Kazakhstan President and Belarusian  President.

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