The math of mobilization: How voter turnout could reshape Armenia`s  Parliament

ArmInfo. The results of Armenia's parliamentary elections, scheduled for June 7, 2026, will depend on the citizens' choice: whether  to vote, which party to vote for, or to  spoil their ballot. Political strategist Nina Margaryan wrote about this on her Facebook page, explaining the process with hypothetical figures.

The expert urged people to imagine that the number of voters in  country "X" is 100,000. "Let's say there are five political forces  participating in the elections. The current government in a given  country has its own more or less stable electorate, which includes  like-minded people, government employees, etc. Let's assume there are  only 15,000 of them, and we choose not to vote for any political  force. Meanwhile, on election day, 45% of voters, or 45,000 people,  turned out to vote," the political strategist noted as an example.

So, according to Margaryan, if 15,000 out of these 45,000 voters vote  for the current government, they will receive 33.3% of the vote.  However, she noted that if 60,000 out of 100,000 eligible voters  participate in the election, then 15,000 would become 25%, and so on.

She then called for another option to be considered, one in which  voters would go to the polls not to vote, but to "spoil" their  ballots. She proposed considering this option on the condition that  55% of voters, or 55,000 people, turn out to vote on election day.  "Let's assume the number of invalid ballots was 10,000, or 18.2%. Of  these, 15,000 people voted for the ruling party-about 27.3%. Party A  received 13,000 votes, or 23.6%; Party B received 9,000, or 16.4%;  Party C received 5,000, or 9%; and Party D received 3,000, or 5.5%.  As a result, 18.2% of the votes are wasted, although they could have  been distributed among the opposition forces, in which case the  percentage received by the authorities would have been lower. That  is, as one might understand, the blocs, the second stage-all this is  unimportant; what is essential is the principle," the expert  concluded. 

Recall, according to estimates from the Migration and Citizenship  Service of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Armenia as of February  11, 2,489,031 citizens are eligible to vote in the upcoming  parliamentary elections scheduled for June 7, 2026.  Additionally,   the Central Election Commission reported that 1,281,000 citizens  participated in the 2021 snap parliamentary elections, while  2,593,572 citizens were eligible to vote.