ArmInfo.In the current international situation, there is not a single opportunity even for a serious discussion about the settlement of the Artsakh conflict. A similar opinion was expressed by ArmInfo Director of the Armenian Center for National and Strategic Studies Manvel Sargsyan.
"The actions of the Turkish army in the north of Syria radically changed the distribution of global interests. And in an increasingly inclined to apply NATO sanctions against Turkey, as a result, a crisis arose. Initiating such sanctions, the US President announced that he absolutely does not care who will settle another Syrian crisis. States are not going to fight with the Turks over the Kurds, especially given the involvement of the Syrian army in this war, "he said.
Thus, Donald Trump, according to the analyst, indirectly involves Russia and China in this process. And Russian President Putin immediately set to work, inviting his Turkish counterpart to Moscow. According to Sargsyan, what is happening is yet another evidence of the irreversibility of the process of "spreading" the previously existing relations between allies and opponents. As a result, changes are irreversible, both at the regional and global levels.
"The main question in all of this is what will happen when the Syrian and Turkish army face each other? Especially, given that Trump does not see anything wrong with Russia's help to Syria. All these changes can affect the security of Armenia and Artsakh. And the reasons for there's enough concern, given the statements made by Erdogan and Aliyev in Baku on October 15, "he stressed.
On October 14, Turkish President Recep Erdogan during the 7th Cooperation Council of Turkic-speaking states in Baku voiced the unacceptability of "being under the Armenian occupation of the territories of Azerbaijan: Nagorno-Karabakh and neighboring areas, which forced their residents to become refugees." He also expressed readiness to "contribute to the restoration of the territorial integrity of Azerbaijan." On the same day, at the same summit on October 14, President Ilham Aliyev voiced claims on the territory of Armenia. "Nakhchivan is separated from the mainland of Azerbaijan. Zangezur, an ancient Azerbaijani land, is located between them. Its transfer to Armenia created a geographical split in the Turkic world," Aliyev said.
According to the analyst, immediately after that, the Azerbaijani press began to promote the idea of "using Azerbaijan's precedent created by Turkey in Syria for" anti-terrorist cleansing. "Moreover, special attention was paid to assessing the possibility of supporting such actions by Azerbaijan from the United States and Russia.
The latter circumstance, according to his estimates, is of extreme interest. Especially considering that according to the Minister of Defense Azerbaijan - "the international situation does not allow starting a war against Nagorno-Karabakh." According to Sargsyan, Baku is well aware that they can try to achieve their goals exclusively under the "green light" of the superpowers, which, at the same time, will also bind the hands of Armenia, as happened in April 2016.
"However, at the moment, nobody wants to give such a carte blanche to Azerbaijan. This is confirmed by the statement made by the Secretary General of the Alliance Jens Stoltenberg on the absence of a military solution to the Karabakh conflict on October 14 at a meeting of the NATO Parliamentary Assembly," the analyst summed up.